Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.79
Maardu vs FC Tallinn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 23 April the Esiliiga A brings Maardu against FC Tallinn. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Maardu are 6th, lower half, on 45 points after 33 matches; FC Tallinn are 8th (in the drop zone) with 41.
Current form
Maardu, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Nõmme Kalju II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
FC Tallinn, last 4: LLWL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Viimsi, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maardu 2.6 xG, FC Tallinn 1.5 xG – a total near 4.1. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maardu 57%, draw 20%, FC Tallinn 23%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maardu 2–1 FC Tallinn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maardu57%fair 1.75 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @4.50
FC Tallinn23%fair 4.29 · @3.10
4.06Expected goals
2.55Maardu xG
1.50FC Tallinn xG
58%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Maardu 2.6 – 1.5 FC Tallinn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maardu to win✗
57%
1.75
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
–
Draw no bet
Maardu (draw no bet)
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Maardu -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
First team to score
Maardu to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Maardu ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maardu / FT Maardu✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.79
–
Recent results
Maardu – last 6
LWDLLW
18 Apr
@ Nõmme Kalju II
2–3
L
11 Apr
vs FCI Levadia II
3–2
W
3 Apr
vs Tallinna Kalev
1–1
D
12 Mar
vs Elva
0–3
L
8 Mar
@ Nõmme United II
1–4
L
21 Feb
vs Tallinna Kalev II
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
FC Tallinn – last 4
LLWL
16 Apr
@ Viimsi
1–5
L
10 Apr
@ Flora II
0–5
L
4 Apr
vs Nõmme Kalju II
6–3
W
15 Mar
@ Tallinna Kalev
1–5
L
2.0Scored / game
4.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maardu and FC Tallinn.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Maardu vs FC Tallinn?
On our numbers Maardu have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Tallinn 23%.
How many goals will there be in Maardu vs FC Tallinn?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maardu vs FC Tallinn?
Our predicted score is Maardu 2–1 FC Tallinn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Maardu vs FC Tallinn?
Maardu vs FC Tallinn (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
