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Nõmme United II v Nõmme Kalju II: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga A · Estonia
Nõmme United II 60%Draw 18%Nõmme Kalju II 22% Expected goals 2.52 – 1.29
71%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.26 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.26Odds

Picks by market

ResultNõmme United II to win ✗60% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.02

Nõmme United II vs Nõmme Kalju II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 24 April the Esiliiga A brings Nõmme United II against Nõmme Kalju II. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Nõmme United II are 9th, in the drop zone, on 40 points after 36 matches; Nõmme Kalju II are 10th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Nõmme United II, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Elva, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.

Nõmme Kalju II, last 4: WLLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Maardu, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Nõmme United II, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Nõmme Kalju II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nõmme United II 2.5 xG, Nõmme Kalju II 1.3 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nõmme United II 60%, draw 18%, Nõmme Kalju II 22%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nõmme United II 2–1 Nõmme Kalju II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nõmme United II60%fair 1.67 · @1.75
Draw18%fair 5.42 · @3.80
Nõmme Kalju II22%fair 4.65 · @3.30
3.81Expected goals
2.52Nõmme United II xG
1.29Nõmme Kalju II xG
55%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–07%
3–06%
2–26%

From our goals model: Nõmme United II 2.5 – 1.3 Nõmme Kalju II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNõmme United II to win ✗60%1.671.75 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82%1.231.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.81–
Draw no betNõmme United II (draw no bet) ✗74%1.36–
Asian handicapNõmme United II -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.151.04
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.401.26
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗51%1.941.76
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓68%1.481.29
First team to scoreNõmme United II to score first ✗65%1.54–
Half-time resultNõmme United II ahead at half-time ✗49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nõmme United II / FT Nõmme United II ✗43%2.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.02–

Recent results

Nõmme United II – last 6

WWLWWW
19 Apr@ Elva3–1W
12 Apr@ Viimsi3–1W
3 Aprvs Tartu Welco1–3L
16 Mar@ FCI Levadia II1–0W
8 Marvs Maardu4–1W
14 Feb@ Parnu JK Vaprus U214–3W
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Nõmme Kalju II – last 4

WLLL
18 Aprvs Maardu3–2W
11 Aprvs Tartu Welco1–5L
4 Apr@ FC Tallinn3–6L
19 Mar@ Flora II1–3L
2.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Nõmme United II and Nõmme Kalju II.

Nõmme United II vs Nõmme Kalju II head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nõmme United II vs Nõmme Kalju II?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.

Who will win Nõmme United II vs Nõmme Kalju II?

On our numbers Nõmme United II have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Nõmme Kalju II 22%.

How many goals will there be in Nõmme United II vs Nõmme Kalju II?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nõmme United II vs Nõmme Kalju II?

Our predicted score is Nõmme United II 2–1 Nõmme Kalju II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Nõmme United II vs Nõmme Kalju II?

Nõmme United II vs Nõmme Kalju II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.