Elva 64%Draw 20%FC Tallinn 17%Expected goals 2.41 – 1.13
68%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.32 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.32Odds
Picks by market
ResultElva to win ✓64% · @1.41
Double chanceElva or draw ✓83% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.41
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Elva vs FC Tallinn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Tallinn travel to face Elva on Thursday 7 May in the Esiliiga A, with Nike Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Elva are 4th, among the top four, on 55 points after 36 matches; FC Tallinn are 8th (in the drop zone) with 41. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Elva, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Nõmme Kalju II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
FC Tallinn, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Tartu Welco, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours FC Tallinn, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Elva.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Elva 2.4 xG, FC Tallinn 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Elva 64%, draw 20%, FC Tallinn 17%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.41.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Elva 2–1 FC Tallinn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Elva64%fair 1.57 · @1.41
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @4.30
FC Tallinn17%fair 5.98 · @5.10
3.54Expected goals
2.41Elva xG
1.13FC Tallinn xG
63%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–08%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Elva 2.4 – 1.1 FC Tallinn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Elva to win✓
64%
1.57
1.41
Double chance
Elva or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.41
Draw no bet
Elva (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Elva -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.05
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.32
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.66
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.25
First team to score
Elva to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Elva ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Elva / FT Elva✗
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.50
–
Recent results
Elva – last 6
LDLLLW
2 May
vs Nõmme Kalju II
2–4
L
27 Apr
@ Tartu Welco
3–3
D
23 Apr
@ Flora II
2–3
L
19 Apr
vs Nõmme United II
1–3
L
9 Apr
@ Tallinna Kalev
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Viimsi
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
FC Tallinn – last 6
LWDLLW
1 May
vs Tartu Welco
0–2
L
27 Apr
vs FCI Levadia II
4–2
W
23 Apr
@ Maardu
1–1
D
16 Apr
@ Viimsi
1–5
L
10 Apr
@ Flora II
0–5
L
4 Apr
vs Nõmme Kalju II
6–3
W
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Elva and FC Tallinn.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Elva vs FC Tallinn?
On our numbers Elva have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Tallinn 17%.
How many goals will there be in Elva vs FC Tallinn?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elva vs FC Tallinn?
Our predicted score is Elva 2–1 FC Tallinn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Elva vs FC Tallinn?
Elva vs FC Tallinn (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Nike Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
