Value bet: FCI Levadia II to win @ 3.80 – our chance 40% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +51%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNõmme Kalju II to win ✓43% · @1.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.74
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6% · fair 16.91
Nõmme Kalju II vs FCI Levadia II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FCI Levadia II travel to face Nõmme Kalju II on Monday 11 May in the Esiliiga A, with Hiiu Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Nõmme Kalju II are 10th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 36 matches; FCI Levadia II are 3rd (among the top four) with 57. There are 33 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nõmme Kalju II, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Elva, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
FCI Levadia II, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Viimsi, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Nõmme Kalju II, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for FCI Levadia II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nõmme Kalju II 1.6 xG, FCI Levadia II 2.3 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nõmme Kalju II 43%, draw 17%, FCI Levadia II 40%.
Price worth noting: FCI Levadia II to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 FCI Levadia II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nõmme Kalju II43%fair 2.33 · @1.62
Draw17%fair 5.73 · @4.20
FCI Levadia II40%fair 2.52 · @3.80
3.98Expected goals
1.65Nõmme Kalju II xG
2.33FCI Levadia II xG
57%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
1–37%
2–16%
2–35%
From our goals model: Nõmme Kalju II 1.6 – 2.3 FCI Levadia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nõmme Kalju II to win✓
43%
2.33
1.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
–
Draw no bet
Nõmme Kalju II (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Nõmme Kalju II +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
First team to score
FCI Levadia II to score first✗
58%
1.74
–
Half-time result
FCI Levadia II ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FCI Levadia II / FT FCI Levadia II✗
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
6%
16.91
–
Recent results
Nõmme Kalju II – last 6
WLWWLL
2 May
@ Elva
4–2
W
27 Apr
vs Tallinna Kalev
0–4
L
24 Apr
@ Nõmme United II
3–0
W
18 Apr
vs Maardu
3–2
W
11 Apr
vs Tartu Welco
1–5
L
4 Apr
@ FC Tallinn
3–6
L
2.3Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
FCI Levadia II – last 6
LLWLLL
1 May
vs Viimsi
1–2
L
27 Apr
@ FC Tallinn
2–4
L
23 Apr
vs Tallinna Kalev
3–2
W
17 Apr
@ Tartu Welco
2–3
L
11 Apr
@ Maardu
2–3
L
5 Apr
vs Flora II
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nõmme Kalju II and FCI Levadia II.
What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju II vs FCI Levadia II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nõmme Kalju II vs FCI Levadia II?
On our numbers Nõmme Kalju II have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 17% and FCI Levadia II 40%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme Kalju II vs FCI Levadia II?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme Kalju II vs FCI Levadia II?
Our predicted score is Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 FCI Levadia II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Nõmme Kalju II vs FCI Levadia II?
Nõmme Kalju II vs FCI Levadia II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Hiiu Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
