Value bet: Flora II to win @ 1.83 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFlora II to win ✓60% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.71
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.45
Nõmme Kalju II vs Flora II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nõmme Kalju II welcome Flora II to Hiiu Stadium for a Esiliiga A fixture on Saturday 25 July (17:00 WAT). In the table, Nõmme Kalju II are 10th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 36 matches; Flora II are 5th (upper half) with 52. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nõmme Kalju II, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FCI Levadia II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Flora II, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Trans Narva, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Mar 2026) it ended Flora II 3–1 Nõmme Kalju II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nõmme Kalju II 1.4 xG, Flora II 2.6 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 77% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nõmme Kalju II 23%, draw 17%, Flora II 60%.
Price worth noting: Flora II to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 Flora II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nõmme Kalju II23%fair 4.39 · @2.90
Draw17%fair 5.79 · @4.50
Flora II60%fair 1.67 · @1.83
3.97Expected goals
1.38Nõmme Kalju II xG
2.59Flora II xG
59%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–38%
1–17%
0–26%
2–26%
0–35%
From our goals model: Nõmme Kalju II 1.4 – 2.6 Flora II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju II vs Flora II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nõmme Kalju II vs Flora II?
On our numbers Nõmme Kalju II have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Flora II 60%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme Kalju II vs Flora II?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme Kalju II vs Flora II?
Our predicted score is Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 Flora II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Nõmme Kalju II vs Flora II?
Nõmme Kalju II vs Flora II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Hiiu Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
