Tartu Welco 80%Draw 12%Nõmme Kalju II 8%Expected goals 3.53 – 0.93
80%
Betarazi pick
Tartu Welco to win
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultTartu Welco to win ✓80% · @1.20
Double chanceTartu Welco or draw ✓92% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 11.83
Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tartu Welco welcome Nõmme Kalju II to Holm Jalgpallipark for a Esiliiga A fixture on Thursday 28 May (17:00 WAT). In the table, Tartu Welco are 1st, leading the league, on 80 points after 36 matches; Nõmme Kalju II are 10th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 56 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tartu Welco, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Maardu, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Nõmme Kalju II, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FCI Levadia II, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Apr 2026) it ended Nõmme Kalju II 1–5 Tartu Welco.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tartu Welco 3.5 xG, Nõmme Kalju II 0.9 xG – a total near 4.5. That is an open game on paper: 79% for three or more goals, 50% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tartu Welco 80%, draw 12%, Nõmme Kalju II 8%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tartu Welco to win (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tartu Welco 3–0 Nõmme Kalju II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tartu Welco80%fair 1.25 · @1.20
Draw12%fair 8.58 · @6.50
Nõmme Kalju II8%fair 12.35 · @8.00
4.46Expected goals
3.53Tartu Welco xG
0.93Nõmme Kalju II xG
50%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–08%
3–18%
4–07%
2–07%
4–17%
2–17%
From our goals model: Tartu Welco 3.5 – 0.9 Nõmme Kalju II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Our pick is Tartu Welco to win with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju II?
On our numbers Tartu Welco have a 80% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Nõmme Kalju II 8%.
How many goals will there be in Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju II?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Our predicted score is Tartu Welco 3–0 Nõmme Kalju II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 28 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Holm Jalgpallipark.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
