Elva 60%Draw 21%Maardu 19%Expected goals 2.04 – 1.22
66%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Picks by market
ResultElva to win ✓60% · @1.44
Double chanceElva or draw ✓81% · fair 1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Elva vs Maardu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Maardu travel to face Elva on Thursday 11 June in the Esiliiga A, with Nike Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Elva are 4th, among the top four, on 55 points after 36 matches; Maardu are 6th (lower half) with 45.
Current form
Elva, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Tartu Welco, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Maardu, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with FC Tallinn, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Elva, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Maardu.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Mar 2026) it ended Maardu 0–3 Elva.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Elva 2.0 xG, Maardu 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Elva 60%, draw 21%, Maardu 19%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Elva 2–1 Maardu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Elva60%fair 1.67 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @4.50
Maardu19%fair 5.15 · @5.00
3.26Expected goals
2.04Elva xG
1.22Maardu xG
55%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Elva 2.0 – 1.2 Maardu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Elva vs Maardu?
On our numbers Elva have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Maardu 19%.
How many goals will there be in Elva vs Maardu?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elva vs Maardu?
Our predicted score is Elva 2–1 Maardu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Elva vs Maardu?
Elva vs Maardu (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 11 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Nike Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
