Value bet: Nõmme United II to win @ 2.30 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNõmme United II to win ✗46% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.59
Nõmme Kalju II vs Nõmme United II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nõmme Kalju II welcome Nõmme United II to Hiiu Stadium for a Esiliiga A fixture on Monday 15 June (17:00 WAT). In the table, Nõmme Kalju II are 10th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 36 matches; Nõmme United II are 9th (in the drop zone) with 40. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nõmme Kalju II, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to FC Tallinn, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Nõmme United II, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to FCI Levadia II, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 5. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Nõmme Kalju II, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Nõmme United II.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended Nõmme United II 0–3 Nõmme Kalju II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nõmme Kalju II 1.6 xG, Nõmme United II 2.2 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 74% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nõmme Kalju II 34%, draw 20%, Nõmme United II 46%.
Price worth noting: Nõmme United II to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 Nõmme United II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nõmme Kalju II34%fair 2.97 · @2.25
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @4.20
Nõmme United II46%fair 2.15 · @2.30
3.80Expected goals
1.61Nõmme Kalju II xG
2.19Nõmme United II xG
56%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
2–27%
2–16%
1–36%
0–25%
From our goals model: Nõmme Kalju II 1.6 – 2.2 Nõmme United II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju II vs Nõmme United II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Nõmme Kalju II vs Nõmme United II?
On our numbers Nõmme Kalju II have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nõmme United II 46%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme Kalju II vs Nõmme United II?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme Kalju II vs Nõmme United II?
Our predicted score is Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 Nõmme United II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Nõmme Kalju II vs Nõmme United II?
Nõmme Kalju II vs Nõmme United II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Monday 15 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Hiiu Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
