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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tartu Welco v FC Tallinn: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga A · Estonia · Holm Jalgpallipark
4–0
FT
Tartu Welco 75%Draw 15%FC Tallinn 10% Expected goals 3.17 – 1.02
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultTartu Welco to win ✓75% · @1.27
Double chanceTartu Welco or draw ✓90% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.19

Tartu Welco vs FC Tallinn: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 13 June the Esiliiga A brings Tartu Welco against FC Tallinn at Holm Jalgpallipark. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Tartu Welco are 1st, leading the league, on 80 points after 36 matches; FC Tallinn are 8th (in the drop zone) with 41. There are 39 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Tartu Welco, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Elva, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

FC Tallinn, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Nõmme Kalju II, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Tartu Welco, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for FC Tallinn.

Head to head

When they last met (1 May 2026) it ended FC Tallinn 0–2 Tartu Welco.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tartu Welco 3.2 xG, FC Tallinn 1.0 xG – a total near 4.2. That is an open game on paper: 77% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tartu Welco 75%, draw 15%, FC Tallinn 10%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tartu Welco 3–1 FC Tallinn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tartu Welco75%fair 1.33 · @1.27
Draw15%fair 6.72 · @5.75
FC Tallinn10%fair 10.27 · @7.00
4.19Expected goals
3.17Tartu Welco xG
1.02FC Tallinn xG
53%Both score
77%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–18%
3–08%
2–18%
2–08%
4–17%
4–06%

From our goals model: Tartu Welco 3.2 – 1.0 FC Tallinn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTartu Welco to win ✓75%1.331.27
Double chanceTartu Welco or draw ✓90%1.111.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.88–
Draw no betTartu Welco (draw no bet) ✓89%1.13–
Asian handicapTartu Welco -1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77%1.301.25
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓59%1.69–
First team to scoreTartu Welco to score first ✓75%1.34–
Half-time resultTartu Welco ahead at half-time ✓61%1.65–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tartu Welco / FT Tartu Welco ✓57%1.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8%12.19–

Recent results

Tartu Welco – last 6

WWWDWD
1 Jun@ Elva2–0W
28 Mayvs Nõmme Kalju II4–2W
24 May@ Maardu1–0W
17 Mayvs Flora II3–3D
1 May@ FC Tallinn2–0W
27 Aprvs Elva3–3D
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FC Tallinn – last 6

WDLDLL
1 Jun@ Nõmme Kalju II3–1W
28 Mayvs Maardu0–0D
24 Mayvs Viimsi0–2L
14 Mayvs Tallinna Kalev1–1D
7 May@ Elva0–2L
1 Mayvs Tartu Welco0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 May 2026FC Tallinn v Tartu Welco0–2
Tartu Welco vs FC Tallinn head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tartu Welco vs FC Tallinn?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Tartu Welco vs FC Tallinn?

On our numbers Tartu Welco have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 15% and FC Tallinn 10%.

How many goals will there be in Tartu Welco vs FC Tallinn?

We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tartu Welco vs FC Tallinn?

Our predicted score is Tartu Welco 3–1 FC Tallinn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.

When is Tartu Welco vs FC Tallinn?

Tartu Welco vs FC Tallinn (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Holm Jalgpallipark.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.