Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.20
Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 3 July the Esiliiga A brings Tallinna Kalev against Maardu at Kadrioru Staadion. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, Tallinna Kalev are 7th, lower half, on 41 points after 35 matches; Maardu are 6th (lower half) with 45.
Current form
Tallinna Kalev, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Nõmme Kalju II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Maardu, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Viimsi, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Maardu, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Tallinna Kalev.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Maardu 1–1 Tallinna Kalev.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tallinna Kalev 2.1 xG, Maardu 1.5 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tallinna Kalev 51%, draw 20%, Maardu 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tallinna Kalev 2–1 Maardu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tallinna Kalev51%fair 1.95 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @4.00
Maardu29%fair 3.46 · @2.88
3.61Expected goals
2.07Tallinna Kalev xG
1.54Maardu xG
57%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–19%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
2–06%
From our goals model: Tallinna Kalev 2.1 – 1.5 Maardu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu?
On our numbers Tallinna Kalev have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Maardu 29%.
How many goals will there be in Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu?
Our predicted score is Tallinna Kalev 2–1 Maardu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu?
Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Kadrioru Staadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
