FC Tallinn v Nõmme United II: numbers & prediction

FC Tallinn vs Nõmme United II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Saturday 4 July: FC Tallinn v Nõmme United II in the Esiliiga A. In the table, FC Tallinn are 8th, in the drop zone, on 41 points after 36 matches; Nõmme United II are 9th (in the drop zone) with 40. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

FC Tallinn, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to FCI Levadia II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Nõmme United II, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Flora II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 3.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Tallinn 1.5 xG, Nõmme United II 2.1 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Tallinn 25%, draw 19%, Nõmme United II 56%.
• GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.25.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Tallinn 1–2 Nõmme United II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.