Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.33
Maardu vs Tartu Welco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Monday 13 July: Maardu v Tartu Welco in the Esiliiga A, played at Maardu linnastaadion. In the table, Maardu are 6th, lower half, on 45 points after 33 matches; Tartu Welco are 1st (leading the league) with 80. There are 35 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Maardu, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Flora II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Tartu Welco, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Viimsi, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours Tartu Welco, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Maardu.
Head to head
When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Maardu 0–1 Tartu Welco.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maardu 1.4 xG, Tartu Welco 2.5 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maardu 18%, draw 19%, Tartu Welco 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maardu 1–2 Tartu Welco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maardu18%fair 5.50 · @5.50
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @4.75
Tartu Welco62%fair 1.60 · @1.38
3.92Expected goals
1.40Maardu xG
2.51Tartu Welco xG
58%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–37%
1–17%
0–26%
2–26%
0–35%
From our goals model: Maardu 1.4 – 2.5 Tartu Welco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Maardu vs Tartu Welco?
On our numbers Maardu have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Tartu Welco 62%.
How many goals will there be in Maardu vs Tartu Welco?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maardu vs Tartu Welco?
Our predicted score is Maardu 1–2 Tartu Welco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Maardu vs Tartu Welco?
Maardu vs Tartu Welco (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Monday 13 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Maardu linnastaadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
