Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.87
Elva vs Tartu Welco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 8 August the Esiliiga A brings Elva against Tartu Welco at Nike Arena. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Elva are 4th, among the top four, on 55 points after 36 matches; Tartu Welco are 1st (leading the league) with 80. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Elva, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with FCI Levadia II, away. 3.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Tartu Welco, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Nõmme United II, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Elva, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Tartu Welco.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Jun 2026) it ended Elva 0–2 Tartu Welco. The last 2 head-to-heads: Elva 0 wins, Tartu Welco 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Elva 1.4 xG, Tartu Welco 2.2 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Elva 24%, draw 19%, Tartu Welco 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Elva 1–2 Tartu Welco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Elva24%fair 4.23 · @3.90
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @4.33
Tartu Welco57%fair 1.76 · @1.60
3.61Expected goals
1.43Elva xG
2.18Tartu Welco xG
56%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
2–27%
0–26%
2–16%
From our goals model: Elva 1.4 – 2.2 Tartu Welco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Elva vs Tartu Welco?
On our numbers Elva have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Tartu Welco 57%.
How many goals will there be in Elva vs Tartu Welco?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elva vs Tartu Welco?
Our predicted score is Elva 1–2 Tartu Welco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Elva vs Tartu Welco?
Elva vs Tartu Welco (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Nike Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
