Nõmme Kalju II 19%Draw 16%Tallinna Kalev 65%Expected goals 1.32 – 2.53
65%
Betarazi pick
Tallinna Kalev to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultTallinna Kalev to win ✓65% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.12
Nõmme Kalju II vs Tallinna Kalev: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Thursday 20 August: Nõmme Kalju II v Tallinna Kalev in the Esiliiga A, played at Hiiu Stadium. In the table, Nõmme Kalju II are 10th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 36 matches; Tallinna Kalev are 7th (lower half) with 41. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nõmme Kalju II, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Nõmme United II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Tallinna Kalev, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Elva, at home. 3.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Tallinna Kalev, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.2 for Nõmme Kalju II.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Tallinna Kalev 5–1 Nõmme Kalju II. The last 2 head-to-heads: Nõmme Kalju II 0 wins, Tallinna Kalev 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 5.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nõmme Kalju II 1.3 xG, Tallinna Kalev 2.5 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 74% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nõmme Kalju II 19%, draw 16%, Tallinna Kalev 65%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.30.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tallinna Kalev to win (65%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 Tallinna Kalev. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nõmme Kalju II19%fair 5.25 · @3.70
Draw16%fair 6.13 · @3.90
Tallinna Kalev65%fair 1.55 · @1.67
3.85Expected goals
1.32Nõmme Kalju II xG
2.53Tallinna Kalev xG
66%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–38%
1–17%
0–27%
2–26%
0–36%
From our goals model: Nõmme Kalju II 1.3 – 2.5 Tallinna Kalev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju II vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our pick is Tallinna Kalev to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Nõmme Kalju II vs Tallinna Kalev?
On our numbers Nõmme Kalju II have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Tallinna Kalev 65%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme Kalju II vs Tallinna Kalev?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme Kalju II vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our predicted score is Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 Tallinna Kalev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Nõmme Kalju II vs Tallinna Kalev?
Nõmme Kalju II vs Tallinna Kalev (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Hiiu Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
