Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.49
Tallinna Kalev vs Tartu Welco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tallinna Kalev welcome Tartu Welco to Kadrioru Staadion for a Esiliiga A fixture on Saturday 5 September (13:00 WAT). In the table, Tallinna Kalev are 7th, lower half, on 41 points after 35 matches; Tartu Welco are 1st (leading the league) with 80. There are 39 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tallinna Kalev, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Flora II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Tartu Welco, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Viimsi, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Mar 2026) it ended Tartu Welco 3–0 Tallinna Kalev.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tallinna Kalev 1.3 xG, Tartu Welco 2.6 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tallinna Kalev 20%, draw 12%, Tartu Welco 68%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tallinna Kalev 1–2 Tartu Welco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tallinna Kalev20%fair 4.98 · @4.20
Draw12%fair 8.15 · @4.50
Tartu Welco68%fair 1.48 · @1.53
3.99Expected goals
1.35Tallinna Kalev xG
2.65Tartu Welco xG
56%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–38%
1–17%
0–26%
2–26%
0–36%
From our goals model: Tallinna Kalev 1.3 – 2.6 Tartu Welco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev vs Tartu Welco?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tallinna Kalev vs Tartu Welco?
On our numbers Tallinna Kalev have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Tartu Welco 68%.
How many goals will there be in Tallinna Kalev vs Tartu Welco?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tallinna Kalev vs Tartu Welco?
Our predicted score is Tallinna Kalev 1–2 Tartu Welco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Tallinna Kalev vs Tartu Welco?
Tallinna Kalev vs Tartu Welco (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Kadrioru Staadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
