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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Viimsi v Tartu Welco: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga A · Estonia · Viimsi Staadion

Viimsi

LWLWW
0–2
FT
Viimsi 59%Draw 18%Tartu Welco 23% Expected goals 2.20 – 1.30
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.33Odds
1

Value bet: Viimsi to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultViimsi to win ✗59% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.53

Viimsi vs Tartu Welco: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 17 September the Esiliiga A brings Viimsi against Tartu Welco at Viimsi Staadion. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Viimsi are 2nd, among the top four, on 61 points after 36 matches; Tartu Welco are 1st (leading the league) with 80. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Viimsi, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Nõmme United II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Tartu Welco, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Nõmme Kalju II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Aug 2026) it ended Tartu Welco 1–3 Viimsi. The last 3 head-to-heads: Viimsi 2 wins, Tartu Welco 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.3 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Viimsi 2.2 xG, Tartu Welco 1.3 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Viimsi 59%, draw 18%, Tartu Welco 23%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.33.
  • Price worth noting: Viimsi to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Viimsi 2–1 Tartu Welco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Viimsi59%fair 1.70 · @1.91
Draw18%fair 5.50 · @3.60
Tartu Welco23%fair 4.33 · @3.00
3.50Expected goals
2.20Viimsi xG
1.30Tartu Welco xG
65%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Viimsi 2.2 – 1.3 Tartu Welco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultViimsi to win ✗59%1.701.91 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82%1.221.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗65%1.531.33
Draw no betViimsi (draw no bet) ✗72%1.39–
Asian handicapTartu Welco +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓54%1.86–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
First team to scoreViimsi to score first ✗61%1.64–
Half-time resultViimsi ahead at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Viimsi / FT Viimsi ✗37%2.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.53–

Recent results

Viimsi – last 6

LWLWWL
13 Sep@ Nõmme United II0–1L
10 Sepvs Elva5–0W
3 Sepvs FC Tallinn1–2L
29 Aug@ Tartu Welco3–1W
24 Augvs Nõmme United II4–1W
21 Aug@ Flora II1–2L
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Tartu Welco – last 6

WDDLWW
14 Sepvs Nõmme Kalju II3–0W
10 Sep@ FCI Levadia II0–0D
5 Sep@ Tallinna Kalev1–1D
29 Augvs Viimsi1–3L
23 Aug@ Nõmme Kalju II4–2W
20 Augvs FCI Levadia II4–2W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Aug 2026Tartu Welco v Viimsi1–3
2 Jul 2026Tartu Welco v Viimsi2–2
23 Apr 2026Viimsi v Tartu Welco2–0
Viimsi vs Tartu Welco head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Viimsi vs Tartu Welco?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Viimsi vs Tartu Welco?

On our numbers Viimsi have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Tartu Welco 23%.

How many goals will there be in Viimsi vs Tartu Welco?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Viimsi vs Tartu Welco?

Our predicted score is Viimsi 2–1 Tartu Welco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Viimsi vs Tartu Welco?

Viimsi vs Tartu Welco (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Viimsi Staadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.