Elva 68%Draw 14%FC Tallinn 18%Expected goals 2.26 – 1.03
68%
Betarazi pick
Elva to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultElva to win ✗68% · @1.53
Double chanceEither team to win ✗86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Elva vs FC Tallinn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Tallinn travel to face Elva on Saturday 19 September in the Esiliiga A, with Nike Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Elva are 4th, among the top four, on 55 points after 36 matches; FC Tallinn are 8th (in the drop zone) with 41. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Elva, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Flora II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
FC Tallinn, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to FCI Levadia II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Elva, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for FC Tallinn.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Jul 2026) it ended FC Tallinn 0–3 Elva. The last 2 head-to-heads: Elva 2 wins, FC Tallinn 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Elva 2.3 xG, FC Tallinn 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Elva 68%, draw 14%, FC Tallinn 18%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Elva to win (68%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.48, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Elva 2–1 FC Tallinn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Elva68%fair 1.48 · @1.53
Draw14%fair 7.18 · @4.50
FC Tallinn18%fair 5.43 · @4.20
3.29Expected goals
2.26Elva xG
1.03FC Tallinn xG
53%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Elva 2.3 – 1.0 FC Tallinn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Elva to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Elva vs FC Tallinn?
On our numbers Elva have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 14% and FC Tallinn 18%.
How many goals will there be in Elva vs FC Tallinn?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elva vs FC Tallinn?
Our predicted score is Elva 2–1 FC Tallinn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Elva vs FC Tallinn?
Elva vs FC Tallinn (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Nike Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
