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Nõmme Kalju II v Nõmme United II: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga A · Estonia · Hiiu Stadium
2–3
FT
Nõmme Kalju II 37%Draw 18%Nõmme United II 45% Expected goals 1.93 – 2.14
72%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultNõmme United II to win ✓45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓72% · @1.20
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.22

Nõmme Kalju II vs Nõmme United II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 21 September the Esiliiga A brings Nõmme Kalju II against Nõmme United II at Hiiu Stadium. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT. In the table, Nõmme Kalju II are 10th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 36 matches; Nõmme United II are 9th (in the drop zone) with 40. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Nõmme Kalju II, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Tartu Welco, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Nõmme United II, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Viimsi, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Nõmme United II, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Nõmme Kalju II.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Aug 2026) it ended Nõmme United II 2–0 Nõmme Kalju II. The last 3 head-to-heads: Nõmme Kalju II 2 wins, Nõmme United II 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nõmme Kalju II 1.9 xG, Nõmme United II 2.1 xG – a total near 4.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 79% and GG at 72%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nõmme Kalju II 37%, draw 18%, Nõmme United II 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (72%) at 1.20.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (72%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 Nõmme United II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nõmme Kalju II37%fair 2.70 · @2.70
Draw18%fair 5.58 · @4.20
Nõmme United II45%fair 2.22 · @2.00
4.06Expected goals
1.93Nõmme Kalju II xG
2.14Nõmme United II xG
72%Both score
79%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–28%
2–27%
1–17%
2–17%
1–35%
2–35%

From our goals model: Nõmme Kalju II 1.9 – 2.1 Nõmme United II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNõmme United II to win ✓45%2.222.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82%1.221.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓72%1.391.20
Draw no betNõmme United II (draw no bet) ✓55%1.82–
Asian handicapNõmme Kalju II +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.101.04
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79%1.271.14
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓61%1.641.47
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗59%1.701.67
First team to scoreNõmme United II to score first ✓52%1.94–
Half-time resultNõmme United II ahead at half-time ✓36%2.78–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nõmme United II / FT Nõmme United II ✓27%3.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%13.22–

Recent results

Nõmme Kalju II – last 6

LLLWLL
14 Sep@ Tartu Welco0–3L
10 Sepvs Flora II1–5L
6 Sep@ Elva0–1L
29 Aug@ FC Tallinn2–0W
23 Augvs Tartu Welco2–4L
20 Augvs Tallinna Kalev0–3L
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Nõmme United II – last 6

WWLLLD
13 Sepvs Viimsi1–0W
10 Sepvs Tallinna Kalev2–1W
6 Sep@ Maardu1–2L
30 Augvs Elva0–1L
24 Aug@ Viimsi1–4L
20 Aug@ FC Tallinn1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Aug 2026Nõmme United II v Nõmme Kalju II2–0
15 Jun 2026Nõmme Kalju II v Nõmme United II4–1
24 Apr 2026Nõmme United II v Nõmme Kalju II0–3
Nõmme Kalju II vs Nõmme United II head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju II vs Nõmme United II?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Nõmme Kalju II vs Nõmme United II?

On our numbers Nõmme Kalju II have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Nõmme United II 45%.

How many goals will there be in Nõmme Kalju II vs Nõmme United II?

We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nõmme Kalju II vs Nõmme United II?

Our predicted score is Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 Nõmme United II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.

When is Nõmme Kalju II vs Nõmme United II?

Nõmme Kalju II vs Nõmme United II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Hiiu Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.