Value bet: Flora II to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFlora II to win ✓59% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.90
Flora II vs Nõmme United II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nõmme United II travel to face Flora II on Thursday 22 October in the Esiliiga A, with Sportland Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Flora II are 5th, upper half, on 52 points after 35 matches; Nõmme United II are 9th (in the drop zone) with 40. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Flora II, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Tallinn, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Nõmme United II, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Tartu Welco, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Jul 2026) it ended Nõmme United II 1–1 Flora II. The last 3 head-to-heads: Flora II 0 wins, Nõmme United II 0, draws 3. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 3 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Flora II 2.5 xG, Nõmme United II 1.6 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 78% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Flora II 59%, draw 15%, Nõmme United II 26%.
Price worth noting: Flora II to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flora II 2–1 Nõmme United II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Flora II59%fair 1.70 · @1.83
Draw15%fair 6.62 · @4.75
Nõmme United II26%fair 3.85 · @2.80
4.04Expected goals
2.46Flora II xG
1.58Nõmme United II xG
59%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–17%
1–17%
2–27%
3–25%
1–25%
From our goals model: Flora II 2.5 – 1.6 Nõmme United II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Flora II vs Nõmme United II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Flora II vs Nõmme United II?
On our numbers Flora II have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Nõmme United II 26%.
How many goals will there be in Flora II vs Nõmme United II?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flora II vs Nõmme United II?
Our predicted score is Flora II 2–1 Nõmme United II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Flora II vs Nõmme United II?
Flora II vs Nõmme United II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportland Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
