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FCI Levadia II v Nõmme Kalju II: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga A · Estonia · Maarjamae staadion
1–0
FT
FCI Levadia II 65%Draw 21%Nõmme Kalju II 14% Expected goals 2.71 – 1.30
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultFCI Levadia II to win ✓65% · @1.33
Double chanceFCI Levadia II or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.57

FCI Levadia II vs Nõmme Kalju II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 14 October the Esiliiga A brings FCI Levadia II against Nõmme Kalju II at Maarjamae staadion. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, FCI Levadia II are 3rd, among the top four, on 57 points after 35 matches; Nõmme Kalju II are 10th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 33 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

FCI Levadia II, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Nõmme United II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.

Nõmme Kalju II, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Nõmme United II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours FCI Levadia II, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Nõmme Kalju II.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Nõmme Kalju II 0–2 FCI Levadia II. The last 2 head-to-heads: FCI Levadia II 1 win, Nõmme Kalju II 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FCI Levadia II 2.7 xG, Nõmme Kalju II 1.3 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 77% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FCI Levadia II 65%, draw 21%, Nõmme Kalju II 14%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: FCI Levadia II 2–1 Nõmme Kalju II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FCI Levadia II65%fair 1.54 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @5.50
Nõmme Kalju II14%fair 7.18 · @5.50
4.01Expected goals
2.71FCI Levadia II xG
1.30Nõmme Kalju II xG
56%Both score
77%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–16%
3–06%
2–26%

From our goals model: FCI Levadia II 2.7 – 1.3 Nõmme Kalju II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFCI Levadia II to win ✓65%1.541.33
Double chanceFCI Levadia II or draw ✓86%1.161.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.79–
Draw no betFCI Levadia II (draw no bet) ✓82%1.21–
Asian handicapFCI Levadia II -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗77%1.291.20
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗57%1.76–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓63%1.60–
First team to scoreFCI Levadia II to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultFCI Levadia II ahead at half-time ✗51%1.95–
Half-time / full-timeHT FCI Levadia II / FT FCI Levadia II ✗45%2.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.57–

Recent results

FCI Levadia II – last 6

WWDWLW
9 Oct@ Nõmme United II1–0W
13 Sep@ FC Tallinn5–1W
10 Sepvs Tartu Welco0–0D
4 Sepvs Flora II6–2W
29 Aug@ Maardu2–4L
23 Augvs FC Tallinn2–1W
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Nõmme Kalju II – last 6

LLLLWL
21 Sepvs Nõmme United II2–3L
14 Sep@ Tartu Welco0–3L
10 Sepvs Flora II1–5L
6 Sep@ Elva0–1L
29 Aug@ FC Tallinn2–0W
23 Augvs Tartu Welco2–4L
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Jul 2026Nõmme Kalju II v FCI Levadia II0–2
11 May 2026Nõmme Kalju II v FCI Levadia II1–0
FCI Levadia II vs Nõmme Kalju II head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FCI Levadia II vs Nõmme Kalju II?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win FCI Levadia II vs Nõmme Kalju II?

On our numbers FCI Levadia II have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nõmme Kalju II 14%.

How many goals will there be in FCI Levadia II vs Nõmme Kalju II?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FCI Levadia II vs Nõmme Kalju II?

Our predicted score is FCI Levadia II 2–1 Nõmme Kalju II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is FCI Levadia II vs Nõmme Kalju II?

FCI Levadia II vs Nõmme Kalju II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Maarjamae staadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.