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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Elva v Tallinna Kalev: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga A · Estonia · Nike Arena

Elva

DDLWD
0–0
FT
Elva 43%Draw 18%Tallinna Kalev 39% Expected goals 1.93 – 1.81
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultElva to win ✗43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗72% · @1.22
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.49

Elva vs Tallinna Kalev: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Sunday 1 November: Elva v Tallinna Kalev in the Esiliiga A, played at Nike Arena. In the table, Elva are 4th, among the top four, on 55 points after 36 matches; Tallinna Kalev are 7th (lower half) with 41. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Elva, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with FCI Levadia II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Tallinna Kalev, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Nõmme Kalju II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Elva, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Tallinna Kalev.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Sep 2026) it ended Elva 3–2 Tallinna Kalev. The last 4 head-to-heads: Elva 2 wins, Tallinna Kalev 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.3 goals and saw GG land 3 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Elva 1.9 xG, Tallinna Kalev 1.8 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 75% and GG at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Elva 43%, draw 18%, Tallinna Kalev 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (72%) at 1.22.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Elva 2–1 Tallinna Kalev. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Elva43%fair 2.31 · @2.15
Draw18%fair 5.49 · @4.10
Tallinna Kalev39%fair 2.59 · @2.55
3.74Expected goals
1.93Elva xG
1.81Tallinna Kalev xG
72%Both score
75%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
3–25%

From our goals model: Elva 1.9 – 1.8 Tallinna Kalev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultElva to win ✗43%2.312.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82%1.221.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗72%1.391.22
Draw no betElva (draw no bet)53%1.89–
Asian handicapTallinna Kalev +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗89%1.121.05
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗75%1.341.22
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗56%1.791.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓64%1.561.57
First team to scoreElva to score first ✗50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓35%2.88–
Half-time / full-timeHT Elva / FT Elva ✗25%3.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.49–

Recent results

Elva – last 6

DDLWDW
25 Octvs FCI Levadia II3–3D
18 Oct@ Nõmme Kalju II0–0D
9 Oct@ Tartu Welco0–4L
24 Sepvs Tallinna Kalev3–2W
19 Sepvs FC Tallinn1–1D
13 Sep@ Flora II2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Tallinna Kalev – last 6

WLLLLD
29 Octvs Nõmme Kalju II3–1W
23 Oct@ Tartu Welco2–3L
19 Octvs FCI Levadia II1–2L
10 Octvs Viimsi1–2L
24 Sep@ Elva2–3L
18 Sepvs Flora II2–2D
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Sep 2026Elva v Tallinna Kalev3–2
15 Aug 2026Tallinna Kalev v Elva1–0
24 May 2026Elva v Tallinna Kalev3–1
9 Apr 2026Tallinna Kalev v Elva2–1
Elva vs Tallinna Kalev head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

More Esiliiga A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Elva vs Tallinna Kalev?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Elva vs Tallinna Kalev?

On our numbers Elva have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Tallinna Kalev 39%.

How many goals will there be in Elva vs Tallinna Kalev?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Elva vs Tallinna Kalev?

Our predicted score is Elva 2–1 Tallinna Kalev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Elva vs Tallinna Kalev?

Elva vs Tallinna Kalev (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Nike Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.