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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Tallinn v Tartu Welco: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga A · Estonia
0–7
FT
FC Tallinn 13%Draw 18%Tartu Welco 70% Expected goals 1.07 – 2.62
70%
Betarazi pick

Tartu Welco to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.43 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.43Odds

Picks by market

ResultTartu Welco to win ✓70% · @1.43
Double chanceTartu Welco or draw ✓87% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.91

FC Tallinn vs Tartu Welco: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tartu Welco travel to face FC Tallinn on Thursday 15 October in the Esiliiga A – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, FC Tallinn are 8th, in the drop zone, on 41 points after 36 matches; Tartu Welco are 1st (leading the league) with 80. There are 39 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

FC Tallinn, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Flora II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.

Tartu Welco, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Elva, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Tartu Welco 0–2 FC Tallinn. The last 3 head-to-heads: FC Tallinn 1 win, Tartu Welco 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.7 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Tallinn 1.1 xG, Tartu Welco 2.6 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Tallinn 13%, draw 18%, Tartu Welco 70%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Tartu Welco to win (70%, odds 1.43). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Tallinn 1–2 Tartu Welco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Tallinn13%fair 7.97 · @5.40
Draw18%fair 5.71 · @4.70
Tartu Welco70%fair 1.43 · @1.43
3.69Expected goals
1.07FC Tallinn xG
2.62Tartu Welco xG
52%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
0–29%
1–38%
0–37%
1–17%
0–17%

From our goals model: FC Tallinn 1.1 – 2.6 Tartu Welco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTartu Welco to win ✓70%1.431.43
Double chanceTartu Welco or draw ✓87%1.14–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.93–
Draw no betTartu Welco (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapTartu Welco -1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓50%1.99–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗69%1.45–
First team to scoreTartu Welco to score first ✓69%1.44–
Half-time resultTartu Welco ahead at half-time ✓53%1.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tartu Welco / FT Tartu Welco ✓48%2.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.91–

Recent results

FC Tallinn – last 6

WLWDLW
10 Oct@ Flora II2–1W
3 Octvs Laagri0–10L
22 Sepvs Harju JK Laagri U215–0W
19 Sep@ Elva1–1D
13 Sepvs FCI Levadia II1–5L
3 Sep@ Viimsi2–1W
1.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Tartu Welco – last 6

WWWDDL
9 Octvs Elva4–0W
17 Sep@ Viimsi2–0W
14 Sepvs Nõmme Kalju II3–0W
10 Sep@ FCI Levadia II0–0D
5 Sep@ Tallinna Kalev1–1D
29 Augvs Viimsi1–3L
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Jul 2026Tartu Welco v FC Tallinn0–2
13 Jun 2026Tartu Welco v FC Tallinn4–0
1 May 2026FC Tallinn v Tartu Welco0–2
FC Tallinn vs Tartu Welco head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Tallinn vs Tartu Welco?

Our pick is Tartu Welco to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.

Who will win FC Tallinn vs Tartu Welco?

On our numbers FC Tallinn have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Tartu Welco 70%.

How many goals will there be in FC Tallinn vs Tartu Welco?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Tallinn vs Tartu Welco?

Our predicted score is FC Tallinn 1–2 Tartu Welco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is FC Tallinn vs Tartu Welco?

FC Tallinn vs Tartu Welco (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.