Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.45
Tartu Welco vs Tallinna Kalev: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Friday 23 October: Tartu Welco v Tallinna Kalev in the Esiliiga A, played at Holm Jalgpallipark. In the table, Tartu Welco are 1st, leading the league, on 80 points after 36 matches; Tallinna Kalev are 7th (lower half) with 41. There are 39 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tartu Welco, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Nõmme United II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Tallinna Kalev, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FCI Levadia II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tartu Welco, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.3 for Tallinna Kalev.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Sep 2026) it ended Tallinna Kalev 1–1 Tartu Welco. The last 2 head-to-heads: Tartu Welco 1 win, Tallinna Kalev 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tartu Welco 2.7 xG, Tallinna Kalev 1.3 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tartu Welco 65%, draw 19%, Tallinna Kalev 16%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tartu Welco 2–1 Tallinna Kalev. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tartu Welco65%fair 1.54 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @4.75
Tallinna Kalev16%fair 6.28 · @5.25
3.98Expected goals
2.66Tartu Welco xG
1.31Tallinna Kalev xG
56%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–17%
3–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Tartu Welco 2.7 – 1.3 Tallinna Kalev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tartu Welco vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tartu Welco vs Tallinna Kalev?
On our numbers Tartu Welco have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Tallinna Kalev 16%.
How many goals will there be in Tartu Welco vs Tallinna Kalev?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tartu Welco vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our predicted score is Tartu Welco 2–1 Tallinna Kalev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Tartu Welco vs Tallinna Kalev?
Tartu Welco vs Tallinna Kalev (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Holm Jalgpallipark.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
