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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nõmme Kalju II v FC Tallinn: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga A · Estonia · Hiiu Stadium
1–2
FT
Nõmme Kalju II 39%Draw 18%FC Tallinn 44% Expected goals 1.84 – 1.97
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Tallinn to win ✓44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓72% · @1.22
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.67

Nõmme Kalju II vs FC Tallinn: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nõmme Kalju II welcome FC Tallinn to Hiiu Stadium for a Esiliiga A fixture on Saturday 24 October (10:30 WAT). In the table, Nõmme Kalju II are 10th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 36 matches; FC Tallinn are 8th (in the drop zone) with 41. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Nõmme Kalju II, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Elva, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

FC Tallinn, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Viimsi, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours FC Tallinn, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Nõmme Kalju II.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Aug 2026) it ended FC Tallinn 0–2 Nõmme Kalju II. The last 3 head-to-heads: Nõmme Kalju II 1 win, FC Tallinn 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 5.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nõmme Kalju II 1.8 xG, FC Tallinn 2.0 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 75% and GG at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nõmme Kalju II 39%, draw 18%, FC Tallinn 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (72%) at 1.22.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 FC Tallinn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nõmme Kalju II39%fair 2.59 · @2.30
Draw18%fair 5.58 · @4.20
FC Tallinn44%fair 2.30 · @2.30
3.82Expected goals
1.84Nõmme Kalju II xG
1.97FC Tallinn xG
72%Both score
75%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
1–28%
2–17%
2–27%
1–35%
2–35%

From our goals model: Nõmme Kalju II 1.8 – 2.0 FC Tallinn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Tallinn to win ✓44%2.302.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82%1.221.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓72%1.391.22
Draw no betFC Tallinn (draw no bet) ✓53%1.89–
Asian handicapNõmme Kalju II +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.121.05
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75%1.331.20
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗57%1.771.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓63%1.581.57
First team to scoreFC Tallinn to score first51%1.98–
Half-time resultFC Tallinn ahead at half-time ✓34%2.91–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Tallinn / FT FC Tallinn ✓26%3.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8%12.67–

Recent results

Nõmme Kalju II – last 6

DLLLLL
18 Octvs Elva0–0D
14 Oct@ FCI Levadia II0–1L
21 Sepvs Nõmme United II2–3L
14 Sep@ Tartu Welco0–3L
10 Sepvs Flora II1–5L
6 Sep@ Elva0–1L
0.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FC Tallinn – last 6

LLWLWD
19 Octvs Viimsi0–3L
15 Octvs Tartu Welco0–7L
10 Oct@ Flora II2–1W
3 Octvs Laagri0–10L
22 Sepvs Harju JK Laagri U215–0W
19 Sep@ Elva1–1D
1.3Scored / game
3.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Aug 2026FC Tallinn v Nõmme Kalju II0–2
1 Jun 2026Nõmme Kalju II v FC Tallinn1–3
4 Apr 2026FC Tallinn v Nõmme Kalju II6–3
Nõmme Kalju II vs FC Tallinn head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju II vs FC Tallinn?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Nõmme Kalju II vs FC Tallinn?

On our numbers Nõmme Kalju II have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 18% and FC Tallinn 44%.

How many goals will there be in Nõmme Kalju II vs FC Tallinn?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nõmme Kalju II vs FC Tallinn?

Our predicted score is Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 FC Tallinn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Nõmme Kalju II vs FC Tallinn?

Nõmme Kalju II vs FC Tallinn (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Hiiu Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.