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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Flora II v Tartu Welco: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga A · Estonia · Sportland Arena
1–2
FT
Flora II 33%Draw 19%Tartu Welco 48% Expected goals 1.82 – 2.24
74%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Tartu Welco to win @ 2.20 – our chance 48% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultTartu Welco to win ✓48% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓74% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.71

Flora II vs Tartu Welco: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tartu Welco travel to face Flora II on Saturday 31 October in the Esiliiga A, with Sportland Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Flora II are 5th, upper half, on 52 points after 35 matches; Tartu Welco are 1st (leading the league) with 80. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Flora II, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Viimsi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Tartu Welco, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Tallinna Kalev, at home. 3.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Tartu Welco, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.3 for Flora II.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Aug 2026) it ended Tartu Welco 2–1 Flora II. The last 2 head-to-heads: Flora II 0 wins, Tartu Welco 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 4.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Flora II 1.8 xG, Tartu Welco 2.2 xG – a total near 4.1. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 74% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Flora II 33%, draw 19%, Tartu Welco 48%.
  • GG/NG: GG (74%) at 1.25.
  • Price worth noting: Tartu Welco to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 48%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flora II 1–2 Tartu Welco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Flora II33%fair 3.07 · @2.55
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @4.00
Tartu Welco48%fair 2.07 · @2.20
4.06Expected goals
1.82Flora II xG
2.24Tartu Welco xG
74%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–28%
2–27%
1–17%
2–16%
1–36%
2–35%

From our goals model: Flora II 1.8 – 2.2 Tartu Welco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTartu Welco to win ✓48%2.072.20 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓74%1.351.25
Draw no betTartu Welco (draw no bet) ✓60%1.67–
Asian handicapFlora II +1 (Asian handicap)65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓90%1.111.06
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76%1.311.22
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗57%1.751.67
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓62%1.62–
First team to scoreTartu Welco to score first ✓54%1.85–
Half-time resultTartu Welco ahead at half-time ✓39%2.60–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tartu Welco / FT Tartu Welco ✓30%3.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8%12.71–

Recent results

Flora II – last 6

DWLDLW
26 Oct@ Viimsi1–1D
22 Octvs Nõmme United II3–2W
10 Octvs FC Tallinn1–2L
18 Sep@ Tallinna Kalev2–2D
13 Sepvs Elva1–2L
10 Sep@ Nõmme Kalju II5–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Tartu Welco – last 6

WWWWWW
23 Octvs Tallinna Kalev3–2W
18 Octvs Nõmme United II4–3W
15 Oct@ FC Tallinn7–0W
9 Octvs Elva4–0W
17 Sep@ Viimsi2–0W
14 Sepvs Nõmme Kalju II3–0W
3.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Aug 2026Tartu Welco v Flora II2–1
17 May 2026Tartu Welco v Flora II3–3
Flora II vs Tartu Welco head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Flora II vs Tartu Welco?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Flora II vs Tartu Welco?

On our numbers Flora II have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Tartu Welco 48%.

How many goals will there be in Flora II vs Tartu Welco?

We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 74% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Flora II vs Tartu Welco?

Our predicted score is Flora II 1–2 Tartu Welco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.

When is Flora II vs Tartu Welco?

Flora II vs Tartu Welco (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportland Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.