Value bet: Tartu Welco to win @ 2.20 – our chance 48% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTartu Welco to win ✓48% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓74% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.71
Flora II vs Tartu Welco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tartu Welco travel to face Flora II on Saturday 31 October in the Esiliiga A, with Sportland Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Flora II are 5th, upper half, on 52 points after 35 matches; Tartu Welco are 1st (leading the league) with 80. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Flora II, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Viimsi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Tartu Welco, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Tallinna Kalev, at home. 3.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Tartu Welco, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.3 for Flora II.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Aug 2026) it ended Tartu Welco 2–1 Flora II. The last 2 head-to-heads: Flora II 0 wins, Tartu Welco 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 4.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Flora II 1.8 xG, Tartu Welco 2.2 xG – a total near 4.1. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 74% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Flora II 33%, draw 19%, Tartu Welco 48%.
GG/NG: GG (74%) at 1.25.
Price worth noting: Tartu Welco to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flora II 1–2 Tartu Welco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Flora II33%fair 3.07 · @2.55
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @4.00
Tartu Welco48%fair 2.07 · @2.20
4.06Expected goals
1.82Flora II xG
2.24Tartu Welco xG
74%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
2–27%
1–17%
2–16%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: Flora II 1.8 – 2.2 Tartu Welco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Flora II vs Tartu Welco?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Flora II vs Tartu Welco?
On our numbers Flora II have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Tartu Welco 48%.
How many goals will there be in Flora II vs Tartu Welco?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 74% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flora II vs Tartu Welco?
Our predicted score is Flora II 1–2 Tartu Welco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Flora II vs Tartu Welco?
Flora II vs Tartu Welco (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportland Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.