Changwon City vs Siheung Citizen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
06:00 WAT, Saturday 2 May: Changwon City v Siheung Citizen in the K3 League. In the table, Changwon City are 11th, lower half, on 30 points after 26 matches; Siheung Citizen are 1st (leading the league) with 57. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Changwon City, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Daejeon Korail, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Siheung Citizen, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Yangpyeong, at home. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Siheung Citizen, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.2 for Changwon City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Changwon City 0.9 xG, Siheung Citizen 1.3 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Changwon City 26%, draw 28%, Siheung Citizen 46%.
Lower-risk option: Siheung Citizen or draw (74%) at 1.29.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Siheung Citizen or draw (74%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Changwon City 0–1 Siheung Citizen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Changwon City26%fair 3.85 · @3.30
Draw28%fair 3.51 · @2.80
Siheung Citizen46%fair 2.20 · @2.10
2.19Expected goals
0.88Changwon City xG
1.31Siheung Citizen xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–210%
1–28%
From our goals model: Changwon City 0.9 – 1.3 Siheung Citizen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Siheung Citizen to win✗
46%
2.20
2.10
Double chance
Siheung Citizen or draw✓
74%
1.35
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.85
Draw no bet
Siheung Citizen (draw no bet)
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Changwon City +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Siheung Citizen to score first
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Siheung Citizen / FT Siheung Citizen✗
27%
3.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.85
–
Recent results
Changwon City – last 6
LWDWLL
25 Apr
@ Daejeon Korail
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Gyeongju HNP
3–2
W
11 Apr
vs Busan Transportation
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Jeonbuk Motors II
3–2
W
29 Mar
@ Chuncheon
0–2
L
21 Mar
vs Yeoju Sejong
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Siheung Citizen – last 6
WWWWWW
26 Apr
vs Yangpyeong
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Pocheon
2–1
W
11 Apr
@ Daejeon Korail
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Gyeongju HNP
2–1
W
28 Mar
@ Busan Transportation
2–1
W
21 Mar
@ Jeonbuk Motors II
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Changwon City and Siheung Citizen.
What is the prediction for Changwon City vs Siheung Citizen?
Our pick is Siheung Citizen or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Changwon City vs Siheung Citizen?
On our numbers Changwon City have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Siheung Citizen 46%.
How many goals will there be in Changwon City vs Siheung Citizen?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Changwon City vs Siheung Citizen?
Our predicted score is Changwon City 0–1 Siheung Citizen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Changwon City vs Siheung Citizen?
Changwon City vs Siheung Citizen (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
