Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPocheon to win ✓62% · @1.62
Double chancePocheon or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Pocheon vs Yangpyeong: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
06:00 WAT, Saturday 2 May: Pocheon v Yangpyeong in the K3 League, played at Pocheon Stadium. In the table, Pocheon are 2nd, among the top four, on 51 points after 26 matches; Yangpyeong are 13th (in the drop zone) with 20. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Pocheon, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Yeoju Sejong, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Yangpyeong, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Siheung Citizen, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Pocheon, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Yangpyeong.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pocheon 2.3 xG, Yangpyeong 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pocheon 62%, draw 22%, Yangpyeong 15%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pocheon to win (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pocheon 2–0 Yangpyeong. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pocheon62%fair 1.61 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.30
Yangpyeong15%fair 6.46 · @5.00
3.22Expected goals
2.25Pocheon xG
0.96Yangpyeong xG
57%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Pocheon 2.3 – 1.0 Yangpyeong expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pocheon to win✓
62%
1.61
1.62
Double chance
Pocheon or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Pocheon (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Pocheon -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
First team to score
Pocheon to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Pocheon ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pocheon / FT Pocheon✗
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Pocheon – last 6
WLDWWW
26 Apr
@ Yeoju Sejong
4–3
W
19 Apr
vs Siheung Citizen
1–2
L
11 Apr
@ Mokpo City
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Daejeon Korail
1–0
W
28 Mar
vs Dangjin Citizen
4–1
W
22 Mar
vs Gyeongju HNP
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Yangpyeong – last 6
LLLDDW
26 Apr
@ Siheung Citizen
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Daejeon Korail
0–3
L
11 Apr
@ Gyeongju HNP
0–4
L
5 Apr
@ Busan Transportation
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Jeonbuk Motors II
2–2
D
21 Mar
vs Chuncheon
5–4
W
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pocheon and Yangpyeong.
Our pick is Pocheon to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Pocheon vs Yangpyeong?
On our numbers Pocheon have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Yangpyeong 15%.
How many goals will there be in Pocheon vs Yangpyeong?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pocheon vs Yangpyeong?
Our predicted score is Pocheon 2–0 Yangpyeong, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Pocheon vs Yangpyeong?
Pocheon vs Yangpyeong (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Pocheon Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
