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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Siheung Citizen v Busan Transportation: numbers & prediction

K3 League · South-Korea
Siheung Citizen 52%Draw 27%Busan Transportation 21% Expected goals 1.51 – 0.94
79%
Betarazi pick

Siheung Citizen or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultSiheung Citizen to win ✗52% · @1.80
Double chanceSiheung Citizen or draw ✗79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.82

Siheung Citizen vs Busan Transportation: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Busan Transportation travel to face Siheung Citizen on Saturday 11 July in the K3 League – the ball rolls at 09:00 WAT. In the table, Siheung Citizen are 1st, leading the league, on 57 points after 26 matches; Busan Transportation are 4th (among the top four) with 43. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Siheung Citizen, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Jincheon, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Busan Transportation, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Gijang United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Siheung Citizen, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Busan Transportation.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Mar 2026) it ended Busan Transportation 1–2 Siheung Citizen.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Siheung Citizen 1.5 xG, Busan Transportation 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Siheung Citizen 52%, draw 27%, Busan Transportation 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Siheung Citizen or draw (79%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Siheung Citizen or draw (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Siheung Citizen 1–0 Busan Transportation. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Siheung Citizen52%fair 1.92 · @1.80
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.10
Busan Transportation21%fair 4.79 · @4.00
2.45Expected goals
1.51Siheung Citizen xG
0.94Busan Transportation xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%

From our goals model: Siheung Citizen 1.5 – 0.9 Busan Transportation expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSiheung Citizen to win ✗52%1.921.80
Double chanceSiheung Citizen or draw ✗79%1.261.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.821.91 ▲
Draw no betSiheung Citizen (draw no bet) ✗71%1.40–
Asian handicapBusan Transportation +1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.79–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreSiheung Citizen to score first ✗56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Siheung Citizen / FT Siheung Citizen ✗30%3.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.82–

Recent results

Siheung Citizen – last 6

DDWWDW
4 Jul@ Jincheon1–1D
27 Junvs Jeonbuk Motors II1–1D
20 Jun@ Chuncheon3–2W
7 Jun@ Yeoju Sejong1–0W
31 Mayvs Mokpo City1–1D
23 Mayvs Dangjin Citizen2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Busan Transportation – last 6

WLDDWL
5 Julvs Gijang United2–1W
28 Junvs Daejeon Korail0–1L
21 Junvs Gyeongju HNP1–1D
6 Jun@ Pocheon1–1D
30 May@ Jeonbuk Motors II2–1W
23 Mayvs Chuncheon2–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Mar 2026Busan Transportation v Siheung Citizen1–2
Siheung Citizen vs Busan Transportation head-to-head page →

K3 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen261763+1657
2Pocheon261493+2151
3Daejeon Korail261367+1645
4Busan Transportation261277+1543
5Gyeongju HNP2610106+540
6Dangjin Citizen2611510+1038
7Chuncheon2610610+536
8Gangneung City2610610-636
9Ulsan Citizen268612-330
10Yeoju Sejong267910-430
11Changwon City267910-530
12Mokpo City2651110-1626
13Yangpyeong264814-2120
14Jeonbuk Motors II261817-3311

More K3 League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Siheung Citizen vs Busan Transportation?

Our pick is Siheung Citizen or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Siheung Citizen vs Busan Transportation?

On our numbers Siheung Citizen have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Busan Transportation 21%.

How many goals will there be in Siheung Citizen vs Busan Transportation?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Siheung Citizen vs Busan Transportation?

Our predicted score is Siheung Citizen 1–0 Busan Transportation, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Siheung Citizen vs Busan Transportation?

Siheung Citizen vs Busan Transportation (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.