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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dangjin Citizen v Pocheon: numbers & prediction

K3 League · South-Korea

Dangjin Citizen

DWDLW
1–1
FT

Pocheon

WWWDW
Dangjin Citizen 25%Draw 26%Pocheon 49% Expected goals 1.28 – 1.61
75%
Betarazi pick

Pocheon or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultPocheon to win ✗49% · @1.70
Double chancePocheon or draw ✓75% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.85

Dangjin Citizen vs Pocheon: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

10:00 WAT, Saturday 11 July: Dangjin Citizen v Pocheon in the K3 League. In the table, Dangjin Citizen are 6th, upper half, on 38 points after 26 matches; Pocheon are 2nd (among the top four) with 51. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Dangjin Citizen, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Haman, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Pocheon, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Daejeon Korail, at home. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Pocheon, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Dangjin Citizen.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Mar 2026) it ended Pocheon 4–1 Dangjin Citizen.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dangjin Citizen 1.3 xG, Pocheon 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dangjin Citizen 25%, draw 26%, Pocheon 49%.
  • Lower-risk option: Pocheon or draw (75%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Pocheon or draw (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dangjin Citizen 1–1 Pocheon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dangjin Citizen25%fair 4.06 · @4.20
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.30
Pocheon49%fair 2.04 · @1.70
2.89Expected goals
1.28Dangjin Citizen xG
1.61Pocheon xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%

From our goals model: Dangjin Citizen 1.3 – 1.6 Pocheon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPocheon to win ✗49%2.041.70
Double chancePocheon or draw ✓75%1.331.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.891.83
Draw no betPocheon (draw no bet)67%1.50–
Asian handicapDangjin Citizen +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.81–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
First team to scorePocheon to score first ✗53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pocheon / FT Pocheon ✗27%3.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.85–

Recent results

Dangjin Citizen – last 6

DWDLWL
4 Jul@ Haman0–0D
28 Junvs Gangneung City5–2W
20 Junvs Ulsan Citizen1–1D
6 Junvs Changwon City1–2L
30 Mayvs Yangpyeong3–1W
23 May@ Siheung Citizen1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Pocheon – last 6

WWWDWW
4 Julvs Daejeon Korail2–0W
28 Jun@ Gyeongju HNP3–1W
21 Junvs Gangneung City3–1W
6 Junvs Busan Transportation1–1D
30 May@ Ulsan Citizen1–0W
23 Mayvs Jeonbuk Motors II5–1W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Mar 2026Pocheon v Dangjin Citizen4–1
Dangjin Citizen vs Pocheon head-to-head page →

K3 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen261763+1657
2Pocheon261493+2151
3Daejeon Korail261367+1645
4Busan Transportation261277+1543
5Gyeongju HNP2610106+540
6Dangjin Citizen2611510+1038
7Chuncheon2610610+536
8Gangneung City2610610-636
9Ulsan Citizen268612-330
10Yeoju Sejong267910-430
11Changwon City267910-530
12Mokpo City2651110-1626
13Yangpyeong264814-2120
14Jeonbuk Motors II261817-3311

More K3 League predictions

League hub
FT Siheung Citizen0 Busan Transportation2 152%1.80X27%3.10221%4.00 1.5–0.9xG 1XSiheung Citizen or draw 79%@1.20 ✗
FT Daejeon Korail0 Gyeongju HNP1 143%2.30X27%2.90230%2.80 1.5–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 60%@1.67 ✗
FT Mokpo City2 Gangneung City1 133%2.80X28%2.88238%2.40 1.1–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 50%@1.83 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dangjin Citizen vs Pocheon?

Our pick is Pocheon or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Dangjin Citizen vs Pocheon?

On our numbers Dangjin Citizen have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Pocheon 49%.

How many goals will there be in Dangjin Citizen vs Pocheon?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dangjin Citizen vs Pocheon?

Our predicted score is Dangjin Citizen 1–1 Pocheon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Dangjin Citizen vs Pocheon?

Dangjin Citizen vs Pocheon (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.