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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Changwon City v Pocheon: numbers & prediction

K3 League · South-Korea
1–3
FT

Pocheon

DWWLW
Changwon City 27%Draw 23%Pocheon 50% Expected goals 0.97 – 1.44
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultPocheon to win ✓50% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.07

Changwon City vs Pocheon: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Pocheon travel to face Changwon City on Saturday 10 October in the K3 League – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT. In the table, Changwon City are 11th, lower half, on 30 points after 26 matches; Pocheon are 2nd (among the top four) with 51. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Changwon City, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Yangpyeong, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Pocheon, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Chuncheon, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Pocheon, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Changwon City.

Head to head

When they last met (16 May 2026) it ended Pocheon 0–0 Changwon City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Changwon City 1.0 xG, Pocheon 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Changwon City 27%, draw 23%, Pocheon 50%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.80, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Changwon City 1–1 Pocheon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Changwon City27%fair 3.68 · @3.40
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.00
Pocheon50%fair 2.01 · @2.00
2.41Expected goals
0.97Changwon City xG
1.44Pocheon xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–113%
0–29%
1–29%
0–09%
1–09%

From our goals model: Changwon City 1.0 – 1.4 Pocheon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPocheon to win ✓50%2.012.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.801.85
Draw no betPocheon (draw no bet) ✓65%1.55–
Asian handicapChangwon City +1 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.76–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scorePocheon to score first54%1.84–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pocheon / FT Pocheon ✗28%3.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.07–

Recent results

Changwon City – last 6

WLLLLD
3 Octvs Yangpyeong2–1W
20 Sep@ Gyeongju HNP1–2L
13 Sep@ Siheung Citizen1–3L
5 Sepvs Daejeon Korail0–1L
22 Aug@ Busan Transportation3–4L
26 Julvs Jeonbuk Motors II1–1D
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Pocheon – last 6

DWWLWD
3 Octvs Chuncheon0–0D
13 Sep@ Yangpyeong2–0W
6 Sepvs Yeoju Sejong1–0W
30 Aug@ Siheung Citizen2–3L
22 Augvs Mokpo City2–0W
25 Julvs Daejeon Korail1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 May 2026Pocheon v Changwon City0–0
Changwon City vs Pocheon head-to-head page →

K3 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen261763+1657
2Pocheon261493+2151
3Daejeon Korail261367+1645
4Busan Transportation261277+1543
5Gyeongju HNP2610106+540
6Dangjin Citizen2611510+1038
7Chuncheon2610610+536
8Gangneung City2610610-636
9Ulsan Citizen268612-330
10Yeoju Sejong267910-430
11Changwon City267910-530
12Mokpo City2651110-1626
13Yangpyeong264814-2120
14Jeonbuk Motors II261817-3311

More K3 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Changwon City vs Pocheon?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Changwon City vs Pocheon?

On our numbers Changwon City have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pocheon 50%.

How many goals will there be in Changwon City vs Pocheon?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Changwon City vs Pocheon?

Our predicted score is Changwon City 1–1 Pocheon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Changwon City vs Pocheon?

Changwon City vs Pocheon (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.