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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Busan Transportation v Yeoju Sejong: numbers & prediction

K3 League · South-Korea · Busan Gudeok Stadium
Busan Transportation 58%Draw 25%Yeoju Sejong 17% Expected goals 1.81 – 0.89
83%
Betarazi pick

Busan Transportation or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Busan Transportation to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBusan Transportation to win ✓58% · @1.95
Double chanceBusan Transportation or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.21

Busan Transportation vs Yeoju Sejong: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Yeoju Sejong travel to face Busan Transportation on Saturday 10 October in the K3 League, with Busan Gudeok Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT. In the table, Busan Transportation are 4th, among the top four, on 43 points after 26 matches; Yeoju Sejong are 10th (lower half) with 30. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Busan Transportation, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Mokpo City, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Yeoju Sejong, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Jeonbuk Motors II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (16 May 2026) it ended Yeoju Sejong 1–1 Busan Transportation.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Busan Transportation 1.8 xG, Yeoju Sejong 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Busan Transportation 58%, draw 25%, Yeoju Sejong 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Busan Transportation or draw (83%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Busan Transportation to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Busan Transportation or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Busan Transportation 1–0 Yeoju Sejong. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Busan Transportation58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.10
Yeoju Sejong17%fair 5.91 · @3.30
2.70Expected goals
1.81Busan Transportation xG
0.89Yeoju Sejong xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Busan Transportation 1.8 – 0.9 Yeoju Sejong expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBusan Transportation to win ✓58%1.731.95 ▲
Double chanceBusan Transportation or draw ✓83%1.201.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.801.70
Draw no betBusan Transportation (draw no bet) ✓77%1.29–
Asian handicapYeoju Sejong +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.97–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreBusan Transportation to score first ✓62%1.60–
Half-time resultBusan Transportation ahead at half-time ✓42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Busan Transportation / FT Busan Transportation ✓37%2.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.21–

Recent results

Busan Transportation – last 6

LLDLWD
4 Oct@ Mokpo City1–3L
13 Sep@ Dangjin Citizen3–5L
6 Sep@ Gangneung City1–1D
30 Aug@ Ulsan Citizen1–2L
22 Augvs Changwon City4–3W
29 Julvs Jinju Citizen1–1D
1.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Yeoju Sejong – last 6

WLLLWL
3 Octvs Jeonbuk Motors II2–1W
12 Sep@ Chuncheon1–2L
6 Sep@ Pocheon0–1L
30 Aug@ Mokpo City0–1L
22 Aug@ Dangjin Citizen2–1W
29 Julvs Dangjin Citizen0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 May 2026Yeoju Sejong v Busan Transportation1–1
Busan Transportation vs Yeoju Sejong head-to-head page →

K3 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen261763+1657
2Pocheon261493+2151
3Daejeon Korail261367+1645
4Busan Transportation261277+1543
5Gyeongju HNP2610106+540
6Dangjin Citizen2611510+1038
7Chuncheon2610610+536
8Gangneung City2610610-636
9Ulsan Citizen268612-330
10Yeoju Sejong267910-430
11Changwon City267910-530
12Mokpo City2651110-1626
13Yangpyeong264814-2120
14Jeonbuk Motors II261817-3311

More K3 League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Busan Transportation vs Yeoju Sejong?

Our pick is Busan Transportation or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Busan Transportation vs Yeoju Sejong?

On our numbers Busan Transportation have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Yeoju Sejong 17%.

How many goals will there be in Busan Transportation vs Yeoju Sejong?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Busan Transportation vs Yeoju Sejong?

Our predicted score is Busan Transportation 1–0 Yeoju Sejong, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Busan Transportation vs Yeoju Sejong?

Busan Transportation vs Yeoju Sejong (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Busan Gudeok Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.