Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultNautico Recife to win49% · @1.93
Double chanceNautico Recife or draw76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015% · fair 6.63
Nautico Recife vs America Mineiro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
America Mineiro travel to face Nautico Recife on Sunday 10 May in the Serie B – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Nautico Recife are 15th, lower half, on 46 points after 37 matches; America Mineiro are 19th (in the drop zone) with 29. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nautico Recife, last 4: WLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Athletic Club, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
America Mineiro, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Cianorte, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Nautico Recife, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for America Mineiro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nautico Recife 1.3 xG, America Mineiro 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nautico Recife 49%, draw 27%, America Mineiro 24%.
Lower-risk option: Nautico Recife or draw (76%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nautico Recife 1–0 America Mineiro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nautico Recife49%fair 2.04 · @1.93
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.35
America Mineiro24%fair 4.21 · @3.90
2.13Expected goals
1.27Nautico Recife xG
0.86America Mineiro xG
49%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–110%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: Nautico Recife 1.3 – 0.9 America Mineiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
Attack vs Serie B average
-22%
-28%
Goals conceded vs average
+17%
+4%
Our expected goals here
1.12
0.86
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nautico Recife to win
49%
2.04
1.93
Double chance
Nautico Recife or draw
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.96
1.83
Draw no bet
Nautico Recife (draw no bet)
67%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
America Mineiro +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
66%
1.51
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
60%
1.68
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.11
1.08
First team to score
Nautico Recife to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nautico Recife / FT Nautico Recife
27%
3.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
15%
6.63
–
Recent results
Nautico Recife – last 4
WLWW
27 Apr
@ Athletic Club
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ Ceara
0–1
L
1 Apr
@ Atletico Goianiense
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Santa Cruz
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
America Mineiro – last 6
WLLLWD
7 May
vs Cianorte
3–2
W
4 May
vs CRB
1–2
L
29 Apr
@ Chapecoense-sc
1–2
L
25 Apr
@ Ponte Preta
0–1
L
16 Apr
vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2–1
W
9 Apr
@ Tombense
3–3
D
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nautico Recife and America Mineiro.
What is the prediction for Nautico Recife vs America Mineiro?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Nautico Recife vs America Mineiro?
On our numbers Nautico Recife have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 27% and America Mineiro 24%.
How many goals will there be in Nautico Recife vs America Mineiro?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nautico Recife vs America Mineiro?
Our predicted score is Nautico Recife 1–0 America Mineiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Nautico Recife vs America Mineiro?
Nautico Recife vs America Mineiro (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
