Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNovorizontino to win ✓59% · @1.81
Double chanceNovorizontino or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.62
Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 10 May the Serie B brings Novorizontino against Botafogo SP at Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi. Kick-off: 23:30 WAT. In the table, Novorizontino are 1st, leading the league, on 70 points after 37 matches; Botafogo SP are 12th (lower half) with 51. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Novorizontino, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Volta Redonda, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Botafogo SP, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cuiaba, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Novorizontino, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Botafogo SP.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Novorizontino 1.7 xG, Botafogo SP 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Novorizontino 59%, draw 24%, Botafogo SP 17%.
Lower-risk option: Novorizontino or draw (83%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Novorizontino 1–0 Botafogo SP. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Novorizontino59%fair 1.70 · @1.81
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.30
Botafogo SP17%fair 5.95 · @4.65
2.47Expected goals
1.69Novorizontino xG
0.78Botafogo SP xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Novorizontino 1.7 – 0.8 Botafogo SP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Novorizontino
Botafogo SP
Attack vs Serie B average
+44%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
-26%
-13%
Our expected goals here
1.74
0.79
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novorizontino to win✓
59%
1.70
1.81 ▲
Double chance
Novorizontino or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Novorizontino (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Botafogo SP +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
1.05
First team to score
Novorizontino to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novorizontino / FT Novorizontino✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.62
–
Recent results
Novorizontino – last 6
WLLWDW
7 May
@ Volta Redonda
2–1
W
30 Apr
vs Avai
1–2
L
26 Apr
@ Sport Recife
0–1
L
20 Apr
vs Athletic Club
2–1
W
15 Apr
@ Operario-PR
1–1
D
10 Apr
vs São Bernardo
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Botafogo SP – last 6
DLLWWL
23 Apr
@ Cuiaba
1–1
D
11 Apr
@ Criciuma
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs São Bernardo
1–2
L
1 Apr
@ America Mineiro
2–1
W
21 Mar
vs Fortaleza EC
4–0
W
16 Feb
vs Capivariano
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Novorizontino and Botafogo SP.
What is the prediction for Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP?
On our numbers Novorizontino have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Botafogo SP 17%.
How many goals will there be in Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP?
Our predicted score is Novorizontino 1–0 Botafogo SP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP?
Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
