Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Criciuma to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAvai to win ✗35% · @2.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✓69% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 15.08
Avai vs Criciuma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Saturday 30 May: Avai v Criciuma in the Serie B, played at Estádio da Ressacada. In the table, Avai are 17th, lower half, on 40 points after 37 matches; Criciuma are 4th (among the top four) with 62. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Avai, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Volta Redonda, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Criciuma, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Operario-PR, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Avai, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Criciuma.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Avai 1.0 xG, Criciuma 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Avai 35%, draw 31%, Criciuma 34%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Criciuma to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avai 0–1 Criciuma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Avai35%fair 2.85 · @2.34
Draw31%fair 3.23 · @2.98
Criciuma34%fair 2.94 · @3.25
1.98Expected goals
0.98Avai xG
1.00Criciuma xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Avai 1.0 – 1.0 Criciuma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Avai
Criciuma
Attack vs Serie B average
-27%
-18%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
-23%
Our expected goals here
0.78
0.85
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Avai to win✗
35%
2.85
2.34
Double chance
Either team to win✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.93
Draw no bet
Avai (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Avai +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
1.05
First team to score
Criciuma to score first✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
15.08
–
Recent results
Avai – last 6
WLDLWW
27 May
vs Volta Redonda
3–0
W
24 May
vs Goias
0–2
L
20 May
@ Volta Redonda
2–2
D
17 May
@ Vila Nova
0–2
L
7 May
vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2–0
W
30 Apr
@ Novorizontino
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Criciuma – last 6
DDDLWL
25 May
@ Operario-PR
1–1
D
17 May
vs Atletico Goianiense
1–1
D
10 May
@ Juventude
0–0
D
20 Apr
@ Fortaleza EC
2–3
L
11 Apr
vs Botafogo SP
1–0
W
7 Apr
@ Goias
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avai and Criciuma.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Avai vs Criciuma?
On our numbers Avai have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Criciuma 34%.
How many goals will there be in Avai vs Criciuma?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avai vs Criciuma?
Our predicted score is Avai 0–1 Criciuma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Avai vs Criciuma?
Avai vs Criciuma (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio da Ressacada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
