Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Juventude to win @ 1.89 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultJuventude to win ✓59% · @1.89
Double chanceJuventude or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.34
Juventude vs America Mineiro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
America Mineiro travel to face Juventude on Saturday 30 May in the Serie B, with Estadio Alfredo Jaconi the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Juventude are 2nd, among the top four, on 68 points after 37 matches; America Mineiro are 19th (in the drop zone) with 29. There are 39 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Juventude, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sport Recife, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
America Mineiro, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Vila Nova, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Juventude 1.6 xG, America Mineiro 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Juventude 59%, draw 26%, America Mineiro 14%.
Lower-risk option: Juventude or draw (86%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Juventude to win @1.89 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventude 2–0 America Mineiro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Juventude59%fair 1.69 · @1.89
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.15
America Mineiro14%fair 6.93 · @4.50
2.12Expected goals
1.56Juventude xG
0.56America Mineiro xG
48%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Juventude 1.6 – 0.6 America Mineiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Juventude
America Mineiro
Attack vs Serie B average
+23%
-28%
Goals conceded vs average
-28%
+4%
Our expected goals here
1.75
0.53
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventude to win✓
59%
1.69
1.89 ▲
Double chance
Juventude or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.60
Draw no bet
Juventude (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Juventude -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.05
First team to score
Juventude to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventude / FT Juventude✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.34
–
Recent results
Juventude – last 6
LDWDWL
24 May
vs Sport Recife
0–1
L
17 May
@ Athletic Club
1–1
D
13 May
vs Sao Paulo
3–1
W
10 May
vs Criciuma
0–0
D
7 May
vs Tombense
2–1
W
1 May
@ Cianorte
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
America Mineiro – last 6
LWLLLW
24 May
vs Vila Nova
1–2
L
7 May
vs Cianorte
3–2
W
4 May
vs CRB
1–2
L
29 Apr
@ Chapecoense-sc
1–2
L
25 Apr
@ Ponte Preta
0–1
L
16 Apr
vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventude and America Mineiro.
What is the prediction for Juventude vs America Mineiro?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Juventude vs America Mineiro?
On our numbers Juventude have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and America Mineiro 14%.
How many goals will there be in Juventude vs America Mineiro?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventude vs America Mineiro?
Our predicted score is Juventude 2–0 America Mineiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Juventude vs America Mineiro?
Juventude vs America Mineiro (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
