Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Cuiaba to win @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAvai to win ✓34% · @2.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✓69% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.03
Avai vs Cuiaba: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Avai welcome Cuiaba to Ressacada for a Serie B fixture on Sunday 21 June (15:00 WAT). In the table, Avai are 17th, lower half, on 40 points after 37 matches; Cuiaba are 13th (lower half) with 47.
Current form
Avai, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Londrina, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Cuiaba, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Vila Nova, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Cuiaba, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Avai.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Avai 1.0 xG, Cuiaba 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Avai 34%, draw 31%, Cuiaba 34%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Cuiaba to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avai 0–0 Cuiaba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Avai34%fair 2.90 · @2.52
Draw31%fair 3.20 · @2.86
Cuiaba34%fair 2.92 · @3.10
1.90Expected goals
0.95Avai xG
0.95Cuiaba xG
49%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–015%
1–014%
0–114%
1–114%
2–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Avai 1.0 – 0.9 Cuiaba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Avai
Cuiaba
Attack vs Serie B average
-27%
-17%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
-14%
Our expected goals here
0.87
0.87
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Avai to win✓
34%
2.90
2.52
Double chance
Either team to win✓
69%
1.46
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.67
Draw no bet
Avai (draw no bet)✓
50%
2.00
–
Asian handicap
Cuiaba +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
1.04
First team to score
Avai to score first✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.03
–
Recent results
Avai – last 6
LLWLWL
16 Jun
@ Londrina
2–3
L
11 Jun
@ Ceara
1–2
L
4 Jun
vs Chapecoense-sc
3–0
W
30 May
vs Criciuma
1–2
L
27 May
vs Volta Redonda
3–0
W
24 May
vs Goias
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Cuiaba – last 6
WWWLDL
14 Jun
vs Vila Nova
1–0
W
9 Jun
@ Ponte Preta
2–1
W
1 Jun
vs CRB
2–0
W
22 May
@ Nautico Recife
0–1
L
17 May
vs Novorizontino
0–0
D
29 Apr
@ Anápolis
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avai and Cuiaba.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Avai vs Cuiaba?
On our numbers Avai have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Cuiaba 34%.
How many goals will there be in Avai vs Cuiaba?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avai vs Cuiaba?
Our predicted score is Avai 0–0 Cuiaba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Avai vs Cuiaba?
Avai vs Cuiaba (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ressacada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
