São Bernardo 37%Draw 28%Juventude 34%Expected goals 1.11 – 1.12
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSão Bernardo to win ✗37% · @2.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.46
São Bernardo vs Juventude: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Sunday 21 June: São Bernardo v Juventude in the Serie B, played at Estádio Primeiro de Maio. In the table, São Bernardo are 11th, lower half, on 52 points after 37 matches; Juventude are 2nd (among the top four) with 68. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
São Bernardo, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sport Recife, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Juventude, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Ponte Preta, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give São Bernardo 1.1 xG, Juventude 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – São Bernardo 37%, draw 28%, Juventude 34%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: São Bernardo 1–1 Juventude. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
São Bernardo37%fair 2.69 · @2.48
Draw28%fair 3.52 · @2.90
Juventude34%fair 2.91 · @3.10
2.23Expected goals
1.11São Bernardo xG
1.12Juventude xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: São Bernardo 1.1 – 1.1 Juventude expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
São Bernardo
Juventude
Attack vs Serie B average
+20%
+23%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
-28%
Our expected goals here
1.18
1.29
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
São Bernardo to win✗
37%
2.69
2.48
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.40
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
São Bernardo (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
São Bernardo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Juventude to score first✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventude / FT Juventude✗
20%
4.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.46
–
Recent results
São Bernardo – last 6
DWDWWD
14 Jun
vs Sport Recife
0–0
D
7 Jun
@ CRB
3–2
W
31 May
vs Novorizontino
1–1
D
24 May
@ Atletico Goianiense
1–0
W
12 May
@ Londrina
3–1
W
7 May
vs Caxias
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Juventude – last 6
WLWLDW
14 Jun
vs Ponte Preta
3–0
W
6 Jun
@ Operario-PR
1–2
L
30 May
vs America Mineiro
3–0
W
24 May
vs Sport Recife
0–1
L
17 May
@ Athletic Club
1–1
D
13 May
vs Sao Paulo
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between São Bernardo and Juventude.
What is the prediction for São Bernardo vs Juventude?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win São Bernardo vs Juventude?
On our numbers São Bernardo have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Juventude 34%.
How many goals will there be in São Bernardo vs Juventude?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for São Bernardo vs Juventude?
Our predicted score is São Bernardo 1–1 Juventude, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is São Bernardo vs Juventude?
São Bernardo vs Juventude (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Primeiro de Maio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
