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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ceara v Botafogo SP: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil

Ceara

DWLWL
0–1
FT
Ceara 46%Draw 28%Botafogo SP 25% Expected goals 1.21 – 1.00
75%
Betarazi pick

Ceara or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCeara to win ✗46% · @1.90
Double chanceCeara or draw ✗75% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.45

Ceara vs Botafogo SP: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Botafogo SP travel to face Ceara on Saturday 20 June in the Serie B – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, Ceara are 16th, lower half, on 43 points after 37 matches; Botafogo SP are 12th (lower half) with 51.

Current form

Ceara, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Criciuma, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Botafogo SP, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Operario-PR, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Ceara, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Botafogo SP.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ceara 1.2 xG, Botafogo SP 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ceara 46%, draw 28%, Botafogo SP 25%.
  • Lower-risk option: Ceara or draw (75%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ceara or draw (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ceara 1–0 Botafogo SP. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ceara46%fair 2.16 · @1.90
Draw28%fair 3.51 · @3.25
Botafogo SP25%fair 3.96 · @4.20
2.21Expected goals
1.21Ceara xG
1.00Botafogo SP xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Ceara 1.2 – 1.0 Botafogo SP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

CearaBotafogo SP
Attack vs Serie B average-12%+4%
Goals conceded vs average+10%-13%
Our expected goals here1.061.16

Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCeara to win ✗46%2.161.90
Double chanceCeara or draw ✗75%1.341.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.942.10 ▲
Draw no betCeara (draw no bet) ✗65%1.55–
Asian handicapBotafogo SP +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗64%1.551.48
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.631.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.241.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.091.05
First team to scoreCeara to score first ✗49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ceara / FT Ceara ✗23%4.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.45–

Recent results

Ceara – last 6

DWLWLW
16 Jun@ Criciuma1–1D
11 Junvs Avai2–1W
31 Mayvs Operario-PR1–2L
17 Mayvs Fortaleza EC2–1W
7 May@ Vitoria0–1L
30 Apr@ Maranhão3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Botafogo SP – last 6

WLDLLD
14 Junvs Operario-PR2–1W
9 Jun@ Vila Nova0–1L
1 Jun@ Ponte Preta0–0D
25 Mayvs Athletic Club1–2L
10 May@ Novorizontino0–1L
23 Apr@ Cuiaba1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ceara and Botafogo SP.

Ceara vs Botafogo SP head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ceara vs Botafogo SP?

Our pick is Ceara or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Ceara vs Botafogo SP?

On our numbers Ceara have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Botafogo SP 25%.

How many goals will there be in Ceara vs Botafogo SP?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ceara vs Botafogo SP?

Our predicted score is Ceara 1–0 Botafogo SP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Ceara vs Botafogo SP?

Ceara vs Botafogo SP (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.