Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultCriciuma to win ✓45% · @1.99
Double chanceCriciuma or draw ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.40
Criciuma vs Sport Recife: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Criciuma welcome Sport Recife for a Serie B fixture on Saturday 4 July (20:00 WAT). In the table, Criciuma are 4th, among the top four, on 62 points after 37 matches; Sport Recife are 9th (upper half) with 55.
Current form
Criciuma, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over São Bernardo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sport Recife, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Fortaleza EC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Criciuma, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Sport Recife.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Criciuma 1.2 xG, Sport Recife 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Criciuma 45%, draw 28%, Sport Recife 27%.
Lower-risk option: Criciuma or draw (73%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Criciuma 1–0 Sport Recife. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Criciuma45%fair 2.21 · @1.99
Draw28%fair 3.59 · @3.20
Sport Recife27%fair 3.72 · @3.90
2.12Expected goals
1.23Criciuma xG
0.89Sport Recife xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Criciuma 1.2 – 0.9 Sport Recife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Criciuma
Sport Recife
Attack vs Serie B average
-18%
+15%
Goals conceded vs average
-23%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.18
0.90
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Criciuma to win✓
45%
2.21
1.99
Double chance
Criciuma or draw✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.90
Draw no bet
Criciuma (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Sport Recife +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.07
First team to score
Criciuma to score first✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Criciuma / FT Criciuma✓
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.40
–
Recent results
Criciuma – last 6
WWDWWD
27 Jun
vs São Bernardo
1–0
W
24 Jun
@ America Mineiro
1–0
W
16 Jun
vs Ceara
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Londrina
1–0
W
30 May
@ Avai
2–1
W
25 May
@ Operario-PR
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sport Recife – last 6
LDDDWL
28 Jun
@ Fortaleza EC
1–2
L
19 Jun
vs Atletico Goianiense
1–1
D
14 Jun
@ São Bernardo
0–0
D
11 Jun
vs Athletic Club
1–1
D
31 May
vs Nautico Recife
2–0
W
28 May
vs Fortaleza EC
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Criciuma and Sport Recife.
What is the prediction for Criciuma vs Sport Recife?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Criciuma vs Sport Recife?
On our numbers Criciuma have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Sport Recife 27%.
How many goals will there be in Criciuma vs Sport Recife?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Criciuma vs Sport Recife?
Our predicted score is Criciuma 1–0 Sport Recife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Criciuma vs Sport Recife?
Criciuma vs Sport Recife (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
