Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultNovorizontino to win ✓54% · @1.90
Double chanceNovorizontino or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.62
Novorizontino vs Atletico Goianiense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico Goianiense travel to face Novorizontino on Saturday 4 July in the Serie B, with Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Novorizontino are 1st, leading the league, on 70 points after 37 matches; Atletico Goianiense are 8th (upper half) with 58. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Novorizontino, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Vila Nova, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Atletico Goianiense, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ponte Preta, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Novorizontino, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Atletico Goianiense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Novorizontino 1.6 xG, Atletico Goianiense 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Novorizontino 54%, draw 25%, Atletico Goianiense 20%.
Lower-risk option: Novorizontino or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Novorizontino or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Novorizontino 1–0 Atletico Goianiense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Novorizontino54%fair 1.84 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.35
Atletico Goianiense20%fair 4.95 · @4.10
2.46Expected goals
1.62Novorizontino xG
0.85Atletico Goianiense xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Novorizontino 1.6 – 0.8 Atletico Goianiense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Novorizontino
Atletico Goianiense
Attack vs Serie B average
+44%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
-26%
-18%
Our expected goals here
1.63
0.80
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novorizontino to win✓
54%
1.84
1.90
Double chance
Novorizontino or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.77
Draw no bet
Novorizontino (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Goianiense +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.10
First team to score
Novorizontino to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novorizontino / FT Novorizontino✓
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.62
–
Recent results
Novorizontino – last 6
WWDWDD
26 Jun
vs Vila Nova
2–1
W
23 Jun
@ Ponte Preta
2–0
W
14 Jun
vs Nautico Recife
2–2
D
11 Jun
@ Goias
4–0
W
31 May
@ São Bernardo
1–1
D
27 May
@ Chapecoense-sc
2–2
D
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Atletico Goianiense – last 6
WDDWDL
28 Jun
vs Ponte Preta
2–0
W
19 Jun
@ Sport Recife
1–1
D
12 Jun
vs CRB
3–3
D
9 Jun
@ America Mineiro
2–1
W
30 May
vs Goias
1–1
D
24 May
vs São Bernardo
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Novorizontino and Atletico Goianiense.
What is the prediction for Novorizontino vs Atletico Goianiense?
Our pick is Novorizontino or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Novorizontino vs Atletico Goianiense?
On our numbers Novorizontino have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atletico Goianiense 20%.
How many goals will there be in Novorizontino vs Atletico Goianiense?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novorizontino vs Atletico Goianiense?
Our predicted score is Novorizontino 1–0 Atletico Goianiense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Novorizontino vs Atletico Goianiense?
Novorizontino vs Atletico Goianiense (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
