Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultCuiaba to win ✓54% · @1.84
Double chanceCuiaba or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18% · fair 5.42
Cuiaba vs America Mineiro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
America Mineiro travel to face Cuiaba on Friday 3 July in the Serie B, with Arena Pantanal the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Cuiaba are 13th, lower half, on 47 points after 37 matches; America Mineiro are 19th (in the drop zone) with 29. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cuiaba, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Londrina, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
America Mineiro, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Operario-PR, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Cuiaba, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for America Mineiro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cuiaba 1.3 xG, America Mineiro 0.7 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cuiaba 54%, draw 28%, America Mineiro 18%.
Lower-risk option: Cuiaba or draw (82%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cuiaba 1–0 America Mineiro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cuiaba54%fair 1.85 · @1.84
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @3.20
America Mineiro18%fair 5.56 · @4.70
1.96Expected goals
1.31Cuiaba xG
0.65America Mineiro xG
48%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–014%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Cuiaba 1.3 – 0.7 America Mineiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
Attack vs Serie B average
-17%
-28%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
+4%
Our expected goals here
1.18
0.64
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cuiaba to win✓
54%
1.85
1.84
Double chance
Cuiaba or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.62
Draw no bet
Cuiaba (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
America Mineiro +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
1.05
First team to score
Cuiaba to score first✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cuiaba / FT Cuiaba✗
31%
3.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
18%
5.42
–
Recent results
Cuiaba – last 6
DLWWWL
26 Jun
vs Londrina
2–2
D
21 Jun
@ Avai
0–1
L
14 Jun
vs Vila Nova
1–0
W
9 Jun
@ Ponte Preta
2–1
W
1 Jun
vs CRB
2–0
W
22 May
@ Nautico Recife
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
America Mineiro – last 6
LLWLLL
27 Jun
@ Operario-PR
0–1
L
24 Jun
vs Criciuma
0–1
L
17 Jun
@ Fortaleza EC
3–0
W
9 Jun
vs Atletico Goianiense
1–2
L
30 May
@ Juventude
0–3
L
24 May
vs Vila Nova
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cuiaba and America Mineiro.
What is the prediction for Cuiaba vs America Mineiro?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Cuiaba vs America Mineiro?
On our numbers Cuiaba have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 28% and America Mineiro 18%.
How many goals will there be in Cuiaba vs America Mineiro?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cuiaba vs America Mineiro?
Our predicted score is Cuiaba 1–0 America Mineiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Cuiaba vs America Mineiro?
Cuiaba vs America Mineiro (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Pantanal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
