Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗11% · fair 8.89
Fortaleza EC vs Ponte Preta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Friday 3 July: Fortaleza EC v Ponte Preta in the Serie B. In the table, Fortaleza EC are 5th, upper half, on 62 points after 37 matches; Ponte Preta are 20th (in the drop zone) with 15. There are 47 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Fortaleza EC, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sport Recife, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Ponte Preta, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Atletico Goianiense, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Fortaleza EC, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Ponte Preta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fortaleza EC 2.1 xG, Ponte Preta 0.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fortaleza EC 72%, draw 19%, Ponte Preta 9%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fortaleza EC 2–0 Ponte Preta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fortaleza EC72%fair 1.39 · @1.30
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @4.75
Ponte Preta9%fair 11.73 · @11.00
2.67Expected goals
2.14Fortaleza EC xG
0.54Ponte Preta xG
48%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–016%
1–015%
3–011%
2–18%
1–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Fortaleza EC 2.1 – 0.5 Ponte Preta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
Attack vs Serie B average
-1%
-43%
Goals conceded vs average
-18%
+66%
Our expected goals here
2.26
0.47
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fortaleza EC to win✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Double chance
Fortaleza EC or draw✓
91%
1.09
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.65
Draw no bet
Fortaleza EC (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Fortaleza EC -1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.15
First team to score
Fortaleza EC to score first✓
74%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Fortaleza EC ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fortaleza EC / FT Fortaleza EC✗
50%
2.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
11%
8.89
–
Recent results
Fortaleza EC – last 6
WDLWLL
28 Jun
vs Sport Recife
2–1
W
21 Jun
@ CRB
1–1
D
17 Jun
vs America Mineiro
0–3
L
9 Jun
@ Nautico Recife
1–0
W
6 Jun
@ Vitoria
1–2
L
3 Jun
vs Vitoria
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ponte Preta – last 6
LLLLDL
28 Jun
@ Atletico Goianiense
0–2
L
23 Jun
vs Novorizontino
0–2
L
14 Jun
@ Juventude
0–3
L
9 Jun
vs Cuiaba
1–2
L
1 Jun
vs Botafogo SP
0–0
D
24 May
@ CRB
2–4
L
0.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fortaleza EC and Ponte Preta.
What is the prediction for Fortaleza EC vs Ponte Preta?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fortaleza EC vs Ponte Preta?
On our numbers Fortaleza EC have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ponte Preta 9%.
How many goals will there be in Fortaleza EC vs Ponte Preta?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortaleza EC vs Ponte Preta?
Our predicted score is Fortaleza EC 2–0 Ponte Preta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Fortaleza EC vs Ponte Preta?
Fortaleza EC vs Ponte Preta (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
