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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CRB v Nautico Recife: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil · Estádio Rei Pelé

CRB

DLWDD
2–1
FT
CRB 53%Draw 24%Nautico Recife 23% Expected goals 1.85 – 0.98
77%
Betarazi pick

CRB or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultCRB to win ✓53% · @1.96
Double chanceCRB or draw ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.11

CRB vs Nautico Recife: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nautico Recife travel to face CRB on Friday 17 July in the Serie B, with Estádio Rei Pelé the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, CRB are 6th, upper half, on 58 points after 37 matches; Nautico Recife are 15th (lower half) with 46. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

CRB, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Goias, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Nautico Recife, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Avai, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours CRB, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Nautico Recife.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CRB 1.8 xG, Nautico Recife 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CRB 53%, draw 24%, Nautico Recife 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: CRB or draw (77%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was CRB or draw (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: CRB 1–0 Nautico Recife. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CRB53%fair 1.88 · @1.96
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Nautico Recife23%fair 4.37 · @3.85
2.82Expected goals
1.85CRB xG
0.98Nautico Recife xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%

From our goals model: CRB 1.8 – 1.0 Nautico Recife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

CRBNautico Recife
Attack vs Serie B average+27%-22%
Goals conceded vs average+7%+17%
Our expected goals here2.030.86

Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCRB to win ✓53%1.881.96
Double chanceCRB or draw ✓77%1.301.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.70
Draw no betCRB (draw no bet) ✓70%1.43–
Asian handicapNautico Recife +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.941.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.441.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.181.11
First team to scoreCRB to score first ✓61%1.63–
Half-time resultCRB ahead at half-time ✓42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT CRB / FT CRB ✓36%2.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.11–

Recent results

CRB – last 6

DLWDDL
12 Julvs Goias2–2D
4 Jul@ Londrina0–5L
1 Jul@ Botafogo SP1–0W
21 Junvs Fortaleza EC1–1D
12 Jun@ Atletico Goianiense3–3D
7 Junvs São Bernardo2–3L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Nautico Recife – last 6

LDLLDL
12 Jul@ Avai0–2L
6 Julvs Juventude0–0D
28 Junvs Goias0–1L
20 Jun@ Vila Nova3–4L
14 Jun@ Novorizontino2–2D
9 Junvs Fortaleza EC0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between CRB and Nautico Recife.

CRB vs Nautico Recife head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CRB vs Nautico Recife?

Our pick is CRB or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win CRB vs Nautico Recife?

On our numbers CRB have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nautico Recife 23%.

How many goals will there be in CRB vs Nautico Recife?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CRB vs Nautico Recife?

Our predicted score is CRB 1–0 Nautico Recife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is CRB vs Nautico Recife?

CRB vs Nautico Recife (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Rei Pelé.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.