CRB vs Nautico Recife: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nautico Recife travel to face CRB on Friday 17 July in the Serie B, with Estádio Rei Pelé the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, CRB are 6th, upper half, on 58 points after 37 matches; Nautico Recife are 15th (lower half) with 46. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
CRB, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Goias, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Nautico Recife, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Avai, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours CRB, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Nautico Recife.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CRB 1.8 xG, Nautico Recife 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CRB 53%, draw 24%, Nautico Recife 23%.
Lower-risk option: CRB or draw (77%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was CRB or draw (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: CRB 1–0 Nautico Recife. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CRB53%fair 1.88 · @1.96
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Nautico Recife23%fair 4.37 · @3.85
2.82Expected goals
1.85CRB xG
0.98Nautico Recife xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: CRB 1.8 – 1.0 Nautico Recife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
CRB
Nautico Recife
Attack vs Serie B average
+27%
-22%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
+17%
Our expected goals here
2.03
0.86
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CRB to win✓
53%
1.88
1.96
Double chance
CRB or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.70
Draw no bet
CRB (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Nautico Recife +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
CRB to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
CRB ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CRB / FT CRB✓
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
CRB – last 6
DLWDDL
12 Jul
vs Goias
2–2
D
4 Jul
@ Londrina
0–5
L
1 Jul
@ Botafogo SP
1–0
W
21 Jun
vs Fortaleza EC
1–1
D
12 Jun
@ Atletico Goianiense
3–3
D
7 Jun
vs São Bernardo
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nautico Recife – last 6
LDLLDL
12 Jul
@ Avai
0–2
L
6 Jul
vs Juventude
0–0
D
28 Jun
vs Goias
0–1
L
20 Jun
@ Vila Nova
3–4
L
14 Jun
@ Novorizontino
2–2
D
9 Jun
vs Fortaleza EC
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CRB and Nautico Recife.
Our pick is CRB or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win CRB vs Nautico Recife?
On our numbers CRB have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nautico Recife 23%.
How many goals will there be in CRB vs Nautico Recife?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CRB vs Nautico Recife?
Our predicted score is CRB 1–0 Nautico Recife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is CRB vs Nautico Recife?
CRB vs Nautico Recife (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Rei Pelé.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.