Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultAvai to win ✓44% · @2.12
Double chanceAvai or draw ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.32
Avai vs America Mineiro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 21 July the Serie B brings Avai against America Mineiro at Estádio da Ressacada. Kick-off: 23:30 WAT. In the table, Avai are 17th, lower half, on 40 points after 37 matches; America Mineiro are 19th (in the drop zone) with 29.
Current form
Avai, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with São Bernardo, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
America Mineiro, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ceara, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Avai 1.2 xG, America Mineiro 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Avai 44%, draw 29%, America Mineiro 27%.
Lower-risk option: Avai or draw (73%) at 1.28.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avai 1–0 America Mineiro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Avai44%fair 2.28 · @2.12
Draw29%fair 3.46 · @3.20
America Mineiro27%fair 3.67 · @3.55
2.14Expected goals
1.24Avai xG
0.90America Mineiro xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Avai 1.2 – 0.9 America Mineiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Avai
America Mineiro
Attack vs Serie B average
-27%
-28%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
+4%
Our expected goals here
1.05
0.76
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Avai to win✓
44%
2.28
2.12
Double chance
Avai or draw✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.91
Draw no bet
Avai (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
America Mineiro +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.06
First team to score
Avai to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Avai / FT Avai✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.32
–
Recent results
Avai – last 6
DWLLWL
17 Jul
@ São Bernardo
1–1
D
12 Jul
vs Nautico Recife
2–0
W
6 Jul
@ Botafogo SP
1–3
L
28 Jun
@ Athletic Club
0–1
L
21 Jun
vs Cuiaba
1–0
W
16 Jun
@ Londrina
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
America Mineiro – last 6
DDLLLW
17 Jul
vs Ceara
1–1
D
13 Jul
vs Londrina
1–1
D
3 Jul
@ Cuiaba
0–1
L
27 Jun
@ Operario-PR
0–1
L
24 Jun
vs Criciuma
0–1
L
17 Jun
@ Fortaleza EC
3–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avai and America Mineiro.
What is the prediction for Avai vs America Mineiro?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Avai vs America Mineiro?
On our numbers Avai have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 29% and America Mineiro 27%.
How many goals will there be in Avai vs America Mineiro?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avai vs America Mineiro?
Our predicted score is Avai 1–0 America Mineiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Avai vs America Mineiro?
Avai vs America Mineiro (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 21 July 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio da Ressacada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
