Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultCriciuma to win ✓56% · @1.90
Double chanceCriciuma or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.21
Criciuma vs Cuiaba: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 4 September the Serie B brings Criciuma against Cuiaba at Estadio Heriberto Hülse. Kick-off: 23:30 WAT. In the table, Criciuma are 4th, among the top four, on 62 points after 37 matches; Cuiaba are 13th (lower half) with 47. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Criciuma, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to CRB, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Cuiaba, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Botafogo SP, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cuiaba, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Criciuma.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Criciuma 1.3 xG, Cuiaba 0.6 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Criciuma 56%, draw 26%, Cuiaba 18%.
Lower-risk option: Criciuma or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Criciuma or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Criciuma 1–0 Cuiaba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Criciuma56%fair 1.79 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.15
Cuiaba18%fair 5.48 · @4.45
1.93Expected goals
1.33Criciuma xG
0.61Cuiaba xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–014%
2–013%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Criciuma 1.3 – 0.6 Cuiaba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Criciuma to win✓
56%
1.79
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Criciuma or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.57
Draw no bet
Criciuma (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Cuiaba +1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
1.04
First team to score
Criciuma to score first✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Criciuma / FT Criciuma✓
32%
3.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.21
–
Recent results
Criciuma – last 6
LLDWLD
30 Aug
@ CRB
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Fortaleza EC
0–2
L
20 Aug
@ Botafogo SP
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Goias
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Athletic Club
0–2
L
26 Jul
vs Nautico Recife
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Cuiaba – last 6
WDWWDD
29 Aug
@ Botafogo SP
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Goias
1–1
D
20 Aug
vs Operario-PR
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Ceara
3–1
W
9 Aug
vs Fortaleza EC
1–1
D
27 Jul
@ Sport Recife
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Criciuma and Cuiaba.
Our pick is Criciuma or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Criciuma vs Cuiaba?
On our numbers Criciuma have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cuiaba 18%.
How many goals will there be in Criciuma vs Cuiaba?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Criciuma vs Cuiaba?
Our predicted score is Criciuma 1–0 Cuiaba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Criciuma vs Cuiaba?
Criciuma vs Cuiaba (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heriberto Hülse.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
