Nautico Recife vs Botafogo SP: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Botafogo SP travel to face Nautico Recife on Friday 4 September in the Serie B, with Estadio dos Aflitos the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Nautico Recife are 15th, lower half, on 46 points after 37 matches; Botafogo SP are 12th (lower half) with 51.
Current form
Nautico Recife, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Athletic Club, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Botafogo SP, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cuiaba, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Nautico Recife, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Botafogo SP.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nautico Recife 1.4 xG, Botafogo SP 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nautico Recife 50%, draw 22%, Botafogo SP 27%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nautico Recife 1–0 Botafogo SP. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nautico Recife50%fair 2.00 · @1.96
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.35
Botafogo SP27%fair 3.64 · @3.85
2.38Expected goals
1.43Nautico Recife xG
0.96Botafogo SP xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
2–09%
0–09%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Nautico Recife 1.4 – 1.0 Botafogo SP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nautico Recife to win✓
50%
2.00
1.96
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.85
Draw no bet
Nautico Recife (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Botafogo SP +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.07
First team to score
Nautico Recife to score first✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nautico Recife / FT Nautico Recife✗
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.14
–
Recent results
Nautico Recife – last 6
WDWDDD
29 Aug
vs Athletic Club
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ São Bernardo
1–1
D
19 Aug
vs Ceara
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ Ponte Preta
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Atletico Goianiense
1–1
D
26 Jul
@ Criciuma
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Botafogo SP – last 6
LLDWWL
29 Aug
vs Cuiaba
1–2
L
25 Aug
@ Atletico Goianiense
0–3
L
20 Aug
vs Criciuma
1–1
D
14 Aug
@ São Bernardo
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs America Mineiro
2–1
W
29 Jul
@ Fortaleza EC
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nautico Recife and Botafogo SP.
What is the prediction for Nautico Recife vs Botafogo SP?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Nautico Recife vs Botafogo SP?
On our numbers Nautico Recife have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Botafogo SP 27%.
How many goals will there be in Nautico Recife vs Botafogo SP?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nautico Recife vs Botafogo SP?
Our predicted score is Nautico Recife 1–0 Botafogo SP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Nautico Recife vs Botafogo SP?
Nautico Recife vs Botafogo SP (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio dos Aflitos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
