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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atletico Goianiense v Criciuma: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil
4–0
FT
Atletico Goianiense 43%Draw 26%Criciuma 31% Expected goals 1.10 – 0.88
51%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.96 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.62Odds
2

Value bet: Criciuma to win @ 3.75 – our chance 31% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAtletico Goianiense to win ✓43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.59

Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Atletico Goianiense v Criciuma in the Serie B. In the table, Atletico Goianiense are 8th, upper half, on 58 points after 37 matches; Criciuma are 4th (among the top four) with 62.

Current form

Atletico Goianiense, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ceara, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Criciuma, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Juventude, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Atletico Goianiense, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Criciuma.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Criciuma 1–1 Atletico Goianiense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Goianiense 1.1 xG, Criciuma 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Goianiense 43%, draw 26%, Criciuma 31%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Criciuma to win @3.75 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Goianiense 1–0 Criciuma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico Goianiense43%fair 2.33 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.80
Criciuma31%fair 3.19 · @3.75
1.98Expected goals
1.10Atletico Goianiense xG
0.88Criciuma xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Atletico Goianiense 1.1 – 0.9 Criciuma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtletico Goianiense to win ✓43%2.332.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.40
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.961.62
Draw no betAtletico Goianiense (draw no bet) ✓58%1.73–
Asian handicapCriciuma +1 (Asian handicap) ✗78%1.28–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.70–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗86%1.16–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreAtletico Goianiense to score first ✓48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atletico Goianiense / FT Atletico Goianiense ✓23%4.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.59–

Recent results

Atletico Goianiense – last 6

WDWWDL
10 Sepvs Ceara2–1W
5 Sep@ Juventude2–2D
30 Aug@ Avai1–0W
25 Augvs Botafogo SP3–0W
18 Aug@ Londrina0–0D
15 Augvs Vila Nova0–2L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Criciuma – last 6

LWLLDW
9 Sepvs Juventude0–2L
4 Sepvs Cuiaba2–0W
30 Aug@ CRB1–2L
23 Augvs Fortaleza EC0–2L
20 Aug@ Botafogo SP1–1D
15 Augvs Goias1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Criciuma v Atletico Goianiense1–1
Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma?

On our numbers Atletico Goianiense have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Criciuma 31%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma?

Our predicted score is Atletico Goianiense 1–0 Criciuma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma?

Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.