Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultFortaleza EC to win ✗64% · @1.80
Double chanceFortaleza EC or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.32
Fortaleza EC vs Ceara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fortaleza EC welcome Ceara for a Serie B fixture on Sunday 13 September (22:30 WAT). In the table, Fortaleza EC are 5th, upper half, on 62 points after 37 matches; Ceara are 16th (lower half) with 43. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Fortaleza EC, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Avai, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Ceara, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atletico Goianiense, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Fortaleza EC, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Ceara.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Ceara 2–1 Fortaleza EC. The last 2 head-to-heads: Fortaleza EC 0 wins, Ceara 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fortaleza EC 1.6 xG, Ceara 0.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fortaleza EC 64%, draw 23%, Ceara 14%.
Lower-risk option: Fortaleza EC or draw (86%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fortaleza EC to win (64%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fortaleza EC 1–0 Ceara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fortaleza EC64%fair 1.57 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.20
Ceara14%fair 7.37 · @4.50
2.13Expected goals
1.58Fortaleza EC xG
0.55Ceara xG
47%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Fortaleza EC 1.6 – 0.5 Ceara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Fortaleza EC to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Fortaleza EC vs Ceara?
On our numbers Fortaleza EC have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ceara 14%.
How many goals will there be in Fortaleza EC vs Ceara?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortaleza EC vs Ceara?
Our predicted score is Fortaleza EC 1–0 Ceara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Fortaleza EC vs Ceara?
Fortaleza EC vs Ceara (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
