Value bet: Goias to win @ 3.40 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBotafogo SP to win ✗38% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.18
Botafogo SP vs Goias: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:30 WAT, Monday 14 September: Botafogo SP v Goias in the Serie B, played at Estadio Santa Cruz. In the table, Botafogo SP are 12th, lower half, on 51 points after 37 matches; Goias are 7th (upper half) with 58.
Current form
Botafogo SP, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Novorizontino, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Goias, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Vila Nova, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botafogo SP 1.1 xG, Goias 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botafogo SP 38%, draw 26%, Goias 36%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Goias to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.96, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botafogo SP 1–1 Goias. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botafogo SP38%fair 2.61 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.75
Goias36%fair 2.80 · @3.40
2.22Expected goals
1.13Botafogo SP xG
1.09Goias xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Botafogo SP 1.1 – 1.1 Goias expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botafogo SP to win✗
38%
2.61
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.05
Draw no bet
Botafogo SP (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Goias +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Botafogo SP to score first
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botafogo SP / FT Botafogo SP✗
21%
4.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.18
–
Recent results
Botafogo SP – last 6
LLLLDW
9 Sep
vs Novorizontino
1–3
L
4 Sep
@ Nautico Recife
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Cuiaba
1–2
L
25 Aug
@ Atletico Goianiense
0–3
L
20 Aug
vs Criciuma
1–1
D
14 Aug
@ São Bernardo
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Goias – last 6
LLWDLL
10 Sep
@ Vila Nova
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Fortaleza EC
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs São Bernardo
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Cuiaba
1–1
D
19 Aug
vs Juventude
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Criciuma
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botafogo SP and Goias.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Botafogo SP vs Goias?
On our numbers Botafogo SP have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Goias 36%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo SP vs Goias?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo SP vs Goias?
Our predicted score is Botafogo SP 1–1 Goias, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Botafogo SP vs Goias?
Botafogo SP vs Goias (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Santa Cruz.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
