Value bet: Novorizontino to win @ 2.38 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNovorizontino to win ✗45% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.47
Ceara vs Novorizontino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Novorizontino travel to face Ceara on Saturday 19 September in the Serie B, with Estadio Castelão the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, Ceara are 16th, lower half, on 43 points after 37 matches; Novorizontino are 1st (leading the league) with 70. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ceara, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fortaleza EC, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Novorizontino, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cuiaba, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Momentum favours Novorizontino, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Ceara.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ceara 1.1 xG, Novorizontino 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ceara 32%, draw 23%, Novorizontino 45%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Novorizontino to win @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ceara 1–1 Novorizontino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ceara32%fair 3.14 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.10
Novorizontino45%fair 2.23 · @2.38
2.46Expected goals
1.09Ceara xG
1.37Novorizontino xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–28%
From our goals model: Ceara 1.1 – 1.4 Novorizontino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novorizontino to win✗
45%
2.23
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.85
Draw no bet
Novorizontino (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Ceara +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Novorizontino to score first✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novorizontino / FT Novorizontino✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.47
–
Recent results
Ceara – last 6
DLWLWL
13 Sep
@ Fortaleza EC
1–1
D
10 Sep
@ Atletico Goianiense
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Sport Recife
2–1
W
30 Aug
@ Vila Nova
0–2
L
22 Aug
vs Londrina
2–1
W
19 Aug
@ Nautico Recife
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Novorizontino – last 6
DWWWWW
13 Sep
vs Cuiaba
1–1
D
9 Sep
@ Botafogo SP
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Avai
3–1
W
29 Aug
vs Sport Recife
2–1
W
24 Aug
@ Athletic Club
4–1
W
21 Aug
vs America Mineiro
3–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ceara and Novorizontino.
What is the prediction for Ceara vs Novorizontino?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Ceara vs Novorizontino?
On our numbers Ceara have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Novorizontino 45%.
How many goals will there be in Ceara vs Novorizontino?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ceara vs Novorizontino?
Our predicted score is Ceara 1–1 Novorizontino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ceara vs Novorizontino?
Ceara vs Novorizontino (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Castelão.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
